【日経平均に追い風】米市場で先行した半導体関連銘柄への買いが日本にも波及！？時間外の上昇は底打ち判断の材料に【週間日本株予想2026/9/7～】
米市場で先行した半導体関連銘柄への強い買いが日経平均に好材料となり、月曜日はハイテク株中心に強い展開、横ばい〜上昇推移を予想（週間予想2026/9/7～）
7d -5.5% ✗30d in 22d90d in 82d
35YUCKYBooger Score · 50 is a coin flip
50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
yucky — well below luck. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most coveredNikkei 225 21 →USD/JPY 20 →US equities (S&P 500 / Nasdaq / Dow) 15 →
30d record, oldest first
The record
118 calls · newest first · every one links to its source【日本株はまだ弱い】強い展開に戻ろうとする米株と、調整がまだ続く可能性が考えられる日本市場、ドル円急落は一旦停止も底打ちか判断難しい【今日の相場の振り返り 26/9/4 (金)】
【Japanese stocks are still weak】US stocks trying to return to a strong run, and the Japanese market where a correction may still continue — the dollar-yen's sharp fall has paused, but it's hard to judge whether it has bottomed out【Today's market review 26/9/4 (Fri)】
7d -0.8% ✗30d in 20d90d in 80d
【WTIと長期金利】中東情勢と指標による上昇圧力に要警戒、株式市場への下落圧力とドル円相場への上昇圧力に【今日の相場の振り返り 26/9/1 (火)】
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
7d +0.0% ✗30d in 17d90d in 77d
【WTIと長期金利】中東情勢と指標による上昇圧力に要警戒、株式市場への下落圧力とドル円相場への上昇圧力に【今日の相場の振り返り 26/9/1 (火)】
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
7d +0.5% ✗30d in 17d90d in 77d
【WTIと長期金利】中東情勢と指標による上昇圧力に要警戒、株式市場への下落圧力とドル円相場への上昇圧力に【今日の相場の振り返り 26/9/1 (火)】
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
7d +3.1% ✓30d in 17d90d in 77d
【ハイテク売り警戒】強かったハイパースケーラーと弱かった半導体株、ハイテク株でも分かれる強弱【週間日本株予想 2026/8/31～】
[Alert for Tech Selling] Strong hyperscalers and weak semiconductor stocks — even within tech stocks, strength and weakness diverge [Weekly Japanese Stock Forecast, from 2026/8/31]
7d +0.3% ✓30d in 14d90d in 74d
【見当たらない円高材料】ウォーシュFRBが踏み込んだFRBの金融政策に関する発言と高まる早期利上げ観測【週間ドル円予想 2026/8/31～】
[No yen-strengthening factors in sight] Warsh's remarks that went further on the Fed's monetary policy, and rising expectations of an early rate hike [Weekly dollar-yen forecast 2026/8/31–]
7d -2.5% ✗30d in 14d90d in 74d
[Short-term Overheating] Rising Concerns of a Short-term Correction Despite US Market Trends, Jap...
日本市場は上昇推移が続くが過熱感が高まり始めており、短期的な調整を警戒したいシグナルが出始めている
7d -5.3% ✓30d -9.3% ✓90d in 60d
[Further Gains] Tech Stocks Poised to Rise as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Recede; Easing FX Interv...
日本株は割安感が高まり上昇方向への転換シグナル発生で強い予想
7d +1.9% ✓30d -1.3% ✗90d in 54d
[Further Gains] Tech Stocks Poised to Rise as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Recede; Easing FX Interv...
米ハイテク株は雇用統計の結果を受けて上昇、金利低下が好材料
7d +1.3% ✓30d -0.4% ✗90d in 53d
[US Indices Reach New Highs] The Stock Market Turns Bullish, Risk-On Sentiment Prevails! Still, S...
ダウは最高値を更新し強い展開が続く
7d -1.1% ✗30d -1.7% ✗90d in 50d
[Stronger Than Expected] Persistent Yen Appreciation and Improving Middle East Situation: Stock M...
米市場は堅調推移、3指数は堅調な推移へ戻ろうとしている
7d +2.0% ✓30d +0.9% ✓90d in 48d
[Major Decline] High Alert for a Massive Drop Led by Tech Stocks—A Repeat of 2024!? [Weekly Japan...
高すぎる信用倍率で急落の危険性が高まり、日本株は調整相場を警戒
7d +3.8% ✗30d +5.8% ✗90d in 47d
[The Yen Strengthens] A Forced Market Reversal Due to FX Intervention, Remaining Bullish Dollar F...
為替介入による急落を受け、続落と転換シグナルを警戒したい（ドル円下落方向）
7d +0.2% ✗30d +1.6% ✗90d in 46d
[Will It Rise Tomorrow?] Advantest Posts Strong Earnings! Hopes for a High-Tech Rebound Tomorrow!...
アドバンテストが引け後に発表した決算が好調で、これが明日の上昇材料になることを期待
7d +17.9% ✓30d +20.6% ✓90d in 44d
[Dark Clouds Over the US Market] Widespread Market Sell-Offs Despite Tech Rebound in Japan; Hopes...
米市場は下落の勢いが強すぎ、中東情勢懸念とFRBの利上げ観測を売り材料に強い調整に入る懸念
7d +3.7% ✗30d +3.3% ✗90d in 44d
【アドバンテスト好決算】明日の日本株上昇を期待も、この好材料でも油断できないスケジュールと相場環境【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/7/29 (水)】
【Advantest's strong earnings】Hoping for a rise in Japanese stocks tomorrow, but even with this good news, the schedule and market environment that don't allow complacency 【Shii-san's Tore-Otsu broadcast 26/7/29 (Wed)】
7d +6.2% ✓30d +7.2% ✓90d in 44d
[KOSPI Crash] Nikkei Average Plummets! Kioxia Hits Limit Down, Market Shocked by Reports of China...
キオクシアはストップ安となったが、さすがにこれは売られすぎだと思う（＝反発余地）
7d +41.5% ✓30d +24.8% ✓90d in 43d
[Broad Market Rally] Strong Rebound in Japanese Markets: Still Looking for a Clear Signal of a Tr...
日本の貿易収支悪化懸念は円安材料
7d +0.8% ✓30d -2.6% ✗90d in 35d
[Bad News] Continued Selling Following KOSPI, High-Tech Stocks Under Pressure After Early Gains T...
ハイテク株への売りはまだ続いてしまうかもしれない
7d -2.0% ✓30d +2.9% ✗90d in 34d
[Tech Sell-off] No Crash Expected, But Continued Selling Concerns Persist for the Tech Sector [We...
A dangerous correction in the SOX index is flagged as a key forecast point.
7d -1.6% ✓30d +7.5% ✗90d in 32d
[Tech Sell-off] No Crash Expected, But Continued Selling Concerns Persist for the Tech Sector [We...
Selling in the tech sector is likely to continue, with sector performance diverging.
7d -0.8% ✓30d +8.3% ✗90d in 32d
[WTI Price Rebound] Worsening Middle East Tensions Fuel Yen Depreciation: 2 Irregular Factors Tha...
Heightened Middle East tension is expected to push WTI prices higher.
7d -0.7% ✗30d +1.5% ✓90d in 32d
[Focus on Tech Stocks] Escalating Middle East Tensions Fuel Sell-off: Tonight’s U.S. Tech Perform...
Rising WTI prices are pushing interest rates higher.
7d +0.4% ✓30d +2.9% ✓90d in 27d
[Tech Stock Rebound] Middle East Tensions Seen as Short-Term with Limited Market Impact [Today's ...
Middle East tension impact is seen as short-term and limited; tech stocks are being bought back and holding firm.
7d -4.2% ✗30d +0.5% ✓90d in 23d
[Heightened Caution] Selling Pressure Spreads Beyond the Tech Sector [Market Recap for 7/8/26 (Wed)]
Selling pressure is spreading beyond the tech sector to other sectors, a worrying development.
7d -1.3% ✓30d -1.1% ✓90d in 23d
[Market Shift] TOPIX Remains Steady: Potential for Sector Rotation and Continued Hi-Tech Stock Ad...
TOPIX remains steady and its uptrend is expected to continue amid sector rotation.
7d -2.2% ✗30d -3.5% ✗90d in 19d
[Market Shift] TOPIX Remains Steady: Potential for Sector Rotation and Continued Hi-Tech Stock Ad...
Major US tech stocks are expected to remain resilient despite tech-decline concerns.
7d -1.5% ✗30d -3.1% ✗90d in 18d
[FX Intervention] Be On High Alert: Could Thin Trading During the U.S. Holiday Trigger Another Mo...
Nasdaq is resilient and holds firm even when correcting.
7d +0.6% ✓30d -0.8% ✗90d in 17d
[AI Overinvestment Concerns] Negative News for Meta and Apple's Reported Chinese Memory Purchases...
Despite tech selling, all three major US indices are holding firm.
7d +0.8% ✓30d +1.6% ✓90d in 16d
[Buying Memory Stocks] Divergence in Tech and Sell-offs in Defensives: Today’s Market Recap (Wed,...
Fed rate-hike expectations are pushing US long-term yields higher.
7d +2.1% ✓30d +6.0% ✓90d in 15d
[Resilient] Rebalancing Finished? Nikkei 225 and TOPIX See Growth Stock Buybacks and Afternoon Re...
Growth 250 has shown a bottom, with strong buyback flows.
7d +2.6% ✓30d -5.6% ✗90d in 14d
[Resilient] Rebalancing Finished? Nikkei 225 and TOPIX See Growth Stock Buybacks and Afternoon Re...
Falling WTI prices are pushing US long-term yields lower.
7d +2.4% ✗30d +5.7% ✗90d in 13d
【下げ渋る】戻る海外勢の買い姿勢と月末のリバランス、あくまで短期的な調整と予想【週間日本株予想 2026/6/29～】
【Decline Slowing】The returning buying stance of foreign investors and month-end rebalancing; forecast to be no more than a short-term correction 【Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/6/29～】
7d +1.2% ✗30d -3.4% ✓90d in 11d
【下げ渋る】戻る海外勢の買い姿勢と月末のリバランス、あくまで短期的な調整と予想【週間日本株予想 2026/6/29～】
【Decline Slowing】The returning buying stance of foreign investors and month-end rebalancing; forecast to be no more than a short-term correction 【Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/6/29～】
7d +1.7% ✓30d +0.1% ✓90d in 11d
[Sharp Drop] Profit-Taking at the End of June!? Volatility Spikes Amid Tech-Led Market Correction...
The 3,000-point drop is likely a one-off position adjustment ahead of end-June; the market is not in total-pessimism mode and is not expected to keep falling.
7d +0.4% ✓30d -6.5% ✗90d in 11d
[Sharp Drop] Profit-Taking at the End of June!? Volatility Spikes Amid Tech-Led Market Correction...
Equity market declines drove risk-off yen strength (USD/JPY lower).
7d -0.2% ✓30d +1.1% ✗90d in 10d
【転換は無理？】FRBの年内利上げ観測と底堅い米経済、日銀の利上げは追いつかず【週間ドル円予想 2026/6/22～】
[Is a Turnaround Impossible?] Expectations of a Fed Rate Hike Within the Year and a Resilient U.S. Economy; the BOJ's Rate Hikes Can't Keep Up [Weekly Dollar-Yen Forecast 2026/6/22～]
7d +0.2% ✓30d +0.7% ✓90d in 4d
[The Battle for 64,000 Yen] Middle East Tensions Add to the Bad News; Tonight's US Market Stabili...
止まらない米長期金利の上昇 — asserts US long-term interest rates continue to rise, pressuring equities
7d -1.1% ✗30d +0.8% ✓90d +4.8% ✓
[Rising trend] Nikkei average hits new record high, supported by significant gains in some stocks...
順調な上昇が続く米市場
7d -2.6% ✗30d -1.5% ✗90d +1.1% ✓
[SBG Soars] NVIDIA's Strong Earnings, OpenAI's IPO, and Easing Tensions in the Middle East Drive ...
うまくすれば上昇相場に戻れそうな値動きで期待感が高まります — price action suggests the Nikkei can return to an uptrend
7d +4.7% ✓30d +14.2% ✓90d +4.5% ✓
[Turning Point] Short-term correction or major correction? The Japanese market is at a crossroads...
ハイテク株への売りが続く展開 — selling in US tech stocks continues as overheating cools
7d +3.0% ✗30d +2.5% ✗90d +3.0% ✗
【売り優勢】キオクシアストップ高も下落する指数、小型株買われるも全体に広がる売り姿勢【今日の相場の振り返り 26/5/18 (月)】
【Selling Dominant】Kioxia hits limit-up yet the index falls, small caps bought but a selling stance spreads across the whole market 【Today's market review 26/5/18 (Mon)】
7d +1.6% ✗30d +0.2% ✗90d +4.6% ✗
【下落リスク】中東情勢緊迫化と為替介入、要因は全く異なるものの株も為替も下落に要警戒です！【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/5/18 (月)】
【Downside risk】Heightened tensions in the Middle East and currency intervention — the causes are completely different, but watch out for declines in both stocks and FX! 【Shii-san's Tore-otsu broadcast 26/5/18 (Mon)】
7d +0.1% ✗30d +1.0% ✗90d +0.2% ✗
【売り優勢】キオクシアストップ高も下落する指数、小型株買われるも全体に広がる売り姿勢【今日の相場の振り返り 26/5/18 (月)】
【Selling Dominant】Kioxia hits limit-up yet the index falls, small caps bought but a selling stance spreads across the whole market 【Today's market review 26/5/18 (Mon)】
7d +0.1% ✓30d +1.0% ✓90d +0.2% ✓
[Correction Alert] A Battle for the 60,000 Yen Level!? Tech Sell-off Amid Rising U.S. Long-term I...
短期転換シグナルが発生、一旦は調整が起こってしまいそう — a short-term reversal signal has appeared; a correction toward the 60,000 yen battle line is likely this week
7d +7.1% ✗30d +14.1% ✗90d +13.8% ✗
日経平均62000円越え！日本株爆上げで迎える連休明け、中東情勢に大きな進展！！【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/5/6 (水)】
Nikkei average tops 62,000 yen! Coming back from the holidays with Japanese stocks soaring, major progress in the Middle East situation!! [Shii-san's Tore-otsu stream 26/5/6 (Wed)]
7d +6.3% ✗30d -4.8% ✓90d -20.3% ✓
Will the Nikkei average surge on Thursday?! Will the currency intervention implemented today cont...
米10年債利回りはダブルトップ形成で低下に向かう可能性
7d +2.9% ✗30d +4.1% ✗90d +6.2% ✗
米ハイテク株に買い戻し？予想はここで一旦下げ渋り。後は決算後の相場の反応次第【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/4/29 (水)】
Buying Back Into US Tech Stocks? The Forecast Is That the Decline Stalls Here for Now. After That It Depends on the Market's Reaction to Earnings [Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/4/29 (Wed)]
7d +5.2% ✓30d +11.6% ✓90d +2.2% ✓
ハイテク株に売りでる展開！それでも粘る日経平均と追いかけるように上昇したTOPIX【今日の相場の振り返り 26/4/28 (火)】
Selling emerges in tech stocks! Even so the Nikkei hangs on, and TOPIX rose as if chasing after it【Today's market recap 26/4/28 (Tue)】
7d +3.3% ✓30d +6.0% ✓90d +6.8% ✓
6万円突破とさらなる上昇、前提条件はホルムズ海峡の開放【週間日本株予想 2026/4/20～】
Breaking through 60,000 yen and a further rise — the precondition is the opening of the Strait of Hormuz [Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/4/20–]
7d +2.9% ✓30d +2.9% ✓90d +12.6% ✓
短期的な調整？そこまでなかった悪材料と続くセクター強弱の回転、中東情勢は要警戒【今日の相場の振り返り 26/4/17 (金)】
A Short-Term Correction? The Bad News Wasn't That Bad, and the Rotation of Sector Strength and Weakness Continues; the Middle East Situation Requires Caution [Today's Market Review 26/4/17 (Fri)]
7d +0.4% ✓30d -0.2% ✗90d +1.8% ✓
米業績発表があまりに好調、上がりすぎだが売るのも怖い！？今日の指標は景況感の強弱に注意【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/4/16 (木)】
US Earnings Announcements Are Far Too Strong — It's Risen Too Much, but Selling Is Scary Too?! For Today's Indicators, Watch the Strength and Weakness of Business Sentiment [Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/4/16 (Thu)]
7d +1.7% ✗30d +10.2% ✗90d +12.2% ✗
上値重いが希望が持てた日本株の強弱のローテーション【今日の相場の振り返り 26/4/15 (水)】
Upside is heavy, but the rotation in the strength and weakness of Japanese stocks gave hope 【Today's market recap 26/4/15 (Wed)】
7d +0.4% ✗30d -0.3% ✓90d +2.3% ✗
続くホルムズ海峡封鎖！アメリカとイランの2週間の停戦合意の履行に疑問符！？【今日の相場の振り返り 26/4/9 (木)】
The Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz Continues! A Question Mark Over the Implementation of the Two-Week Ceasefire Agreement Between America and Iran?! [Today's Market Review 26/4/9 (Thu)]
7d +2.7% ✗30d +9.7% ✗90d +19.0% ✗
160円突破！調整を挟み次の節目は162円、最悪シナリオは164円！？【週間ドル円予想 2026/3/30～】
Breaks through 160 yen! After a correction, the next milestone is 162 yen; worst-case scenario 164 yen!? [Weekly dollar-yen forecast 2026/3/30～]
7d +9.3% ✓30d -6.3% ✗90d -32.7% ✗
48時間のタイムリミットを迎える明日の朝が本番！？もう1段のリスク回避を警戒！！【今日の相場の振り返り 26/3/23 (月)】
Tomorrow morning, when the 48-hour time limit arrives, is the real deal!? Beware of one more stage of risk aversion!! [Today's market review 26/3/23 (Mon)]
7d -3.6% ✓30d +8.5% ✗90d +13.6% ✗
5万下抜け！？日経平均48000円への連鎖下落か、中東情勢悪化で警戒すべき2段階の下落【週間日本株予想 2026/3/23～】
Breaking below 50,000!? A chain decline toward a Nikkei average of 48,000 yen? Two stages of decline to watch out for as the Middle East situation worsens [Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/3/23–]
7d -89.7% ✓30d +9.2% ✗90d +18.8% ✗
底堅い展開も保留したい大底形成判断、まだ出ない短期転換シグナル【今日の相場の振り返り 26/3/17 (火)】
A firm showing, but I want to hold off on judging that a major bottom has formed — the short-term reversal signal still isn't out [Today's Market Review 26/3/17 (Tue)]
7d -2.7% ✗30d +5.9% ✓90d +25.6% ✓
続くWTI価格の上昇と円安、それでも介入は難しそう？【今日の相場の振り返り 26/3/13 (金)】
The Continuing Rise in WTI Prices and the Weak Yen — Even So, Intervention Seems Difficult? [Today's Market Review 26/3/13 (Fri)]
7d -2.1% ✗30d +3.6% ✓90d +9.2% ✓
リスク回避は終了！？希望的観測なような気もするもののWTI価格は低下中【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/3/10 (火)】
Is risk-off over!? It feels like wishful thinking, but WTI prices are falling 【Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/3/10 (Tue)】
7d -0.8% ✓30d +1.4% ✗90d +8.3% ✗
まだ落ちるのでは！？とはいえ材料は楽観と悲観、どちらともとれる可能性も【しーさんのトレ乙配信 26/3/9 (月)】
Isn't It Going to Fall Further!? That Said, the News Could Be Read as Either Optimistic or Pessimistic 【Shii-san's Trade-Otsu Stream 26/3/9 (Mon)】
7d -1.0% ✓30d +3.0% ✗90d +18.0% ✗
大暴落！WTI価格上昇に連動し売られた日本株と変われた米ドル、この調整はまだ終わらない！？【今日の相場の振り返り 26/3/9 (月)】
Massive crash! Japanese stocks sold off in tandem with the rise in WTI prices, and the US dollar that changed — is this correction not over yet!? [Today's Market Review 26/3/9 (Mon)]
7d +0.7% ✓30d +0.2% ✓90d +1.2% ✓
否定できない次の急落と為替介入！リスク回避の質に変化で底打ちの可能性も！？【今日の相場の振り返り 26/3/6 (金)】
An undeniable next plunge and FX intervention! With a change in the quality of risk aversion, there's even a chance of a bottom!? [Today's Market Review 26/3/6 (Fri)]
7d -1.6% ✗30d -1.9% ✗90d +12.5% ✓
【ドル円】トランプ関税の違憲判決でドル安が加速？中東情勢緊迫で「152円割れ」のリスクシナリオ【週間ドル円予想 2026/2/23～】
[USD/JPY] Will the unconstitutionality ruling on Trump's tariffs accelerate dollar weakness? The risk scenario of "breaking below 152 yen" amid tense Middle East conditions [Weekly USD/JPY Forecast, from 2026/2/23]
7d +0.7% ✗30d +1.3% ✗90d +1.7% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】強い円安・アドバンテスト・米経済指標が今日のポイント！【26/2/19 (木)】
【Today's market recap】A strongly weak yen, Advantest, and US economic indicators are today's key points!【26/2/19 (Thu)】
7d +5.4% ✗30d -10.8% ✓90d +5.1% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】投資の逆回転の恐怖！悪材料は中東・ブルーアウル・月曜の日本の祝日？【26/2/20 (金)】
【Today's market recap】The terror of investment going into reverse! The bad news is the Middle East, Blue Owl, and Monday's Japanese holiday?【26/2/20 (Fri)】
7d -0.4% ✓30d -4.8% ✓90d +7.8% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】反発するかの勝負に入るドル円相場！ボリンジャーバンド中央線との攻防へ【26/2/18 (水)】
【Today's market recap】The dollar-yen market enters a battle over whether it will rebound! Heading into a fight over the Bollinger band middle line【26/2/18 (Wed)】
7d +0.9% ✓30d -8.8% ✗90d +23.6% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】短期転換シグナルに注意！TOPIXの短期的な強めの調整を警戒、ドル円にも同様の反発シグナル発生か！？【26/2/16 (月)】
【Today's Market Recap】Watch out for the short-term reversal signal! On guard for a fairly strong short-term correction in TOPIX — has a similar rebound signal appeared in dollar-yen too!?【26/2/16 (Mon)】
7d +1.5% ✗30d -4.1% ✓90d +2.7% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】やはり続いた日本株の調整地合い、円高続くかは今晩の米指標次第！？【26/2/16 (月)】
【Today's market recap】The correction tone in Japanese stocks continued after all; whether the strong yen continues depends on tonight's US indicators!?【26/2/16 (Mon)】
7d +0.7% ✗30d +4.0% ✗90d +3.4% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】57000円突破！次の標的は「6万円」か！？要警戒の米ハイテク株売り【週間日本株予想 2026/2/16～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 57,000 yen! Is the next target "60,000 yen"!? Selling in US tech stocks to be wary of【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/2/16～】
7d +0.9% ✓30d -5.5% ✗90d +7.1% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】57000円突破！次の標的は「6万円」か！？要警戒の米ハイテク株売り【週間日本株予想 2026/2/16～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 57,000 yen! Is the next target "60,000 yen"!? Selling in US tech stocks to be wary of【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/2/16～】
7d +0.2% ✗30d -0.9% ✓90d +16.2% ✗
【緊急解説】ハイテク株が投げ売り！アンソロピック「Legal」ショックとSaaS崩壊の危機？【しーさんの投資知識解説】
[URGENT ANALYSIS] Tech stocks dumped! Anthropic's "Legal" shock and the risk of a SaaS collapse? [Shii-san's Investment Knowledge Explainer]
7d -2.1% ✗30d -1.1% ✗90d +16.3% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】2つの危険！為替介入と続くハイテク株売り。次の為替介入は予告なし、アンソロピックショックも止まらない・・・【26/2/5 (木)】
【Today's market recap】Two dangers! Currency intervention and continued selling of tech stocks. The next currency intervention will come without warning, and the Anthropic shock won't stop either...【26/2/5 (Thu)】
7d +5.0% ✗30d -2.8% ✓90d +15.8% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】アンソロピックの新AIツール発表でハイテク株下落！どこが売られてどこが得をする？【26/2/4 (水)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] High-Tech Stocks Fall on Anthropic's New AI Tool Announcement! What Gets Sold and What Gains? [26/2/4 (Wed)]
7d +1.6% ✓30d +10.1% ✓90d +10.2% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】なぜハイテク株が売られたのか？アメリカから出たAIツールによるゲームチェンジ懸念【26/2/4 (水)】
【Today's market recap】Why were tech stocks sold off? Game-change concerns from an AI tool out of America【26/2/4 (Wed)】
7d -0.9% ✗30d +1.1% ✓90d +0.9% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】中東情勢緊迫化でリスク回避！ただしそれでも上がる株式市場、リスク回避は今のところあくまで買い材料！？【26/1/29 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Risk Aversion as the Middle East Situation Grows Tense! Yet the Stock Market Rises Anyway — Is Risk Aversion for Now Nothing but a Reason to Buy!? [26/1/29 (Thu)]
7d -8.6% ✗30d -0.4% ✗90d -14.5% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】中東情勢緊迫化でリスク回避！ただしそれでも上がる株式市場、リスク回避は今のところあくまで買い材料！？【26/1/29 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Risk Aversion as the Middle East Situation Grows Tense! Yet the Stock Market Rises Anyway — Is Risk Aversion for Now Nothing but a Reason to Buy!? [26/1/29 (Thu)]
7d -3.3% ✗30d +8.9% ✓90d +63.4% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】米時間外も上昇でテクニカルに転換シグナル、今晩発表の経済指標は悪材料にはなりそうも無さそうで続伸しそうな米株【26/1/22 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] U.S. After-Hours Rises Too, Giving a Technical Reversal Signal; Tonight's Economic Indicators Don't Look Likely to Be Bad News, So U.S. Stocks Look Set to Keep Rising [26/1/22 (Thu)]
7d +1.1% ✓30d -3.5% ✗90d +5.2% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】日経平均が一旦調整も、米時間外はすでに反発！？リスクオフ相場はもう終了の可能性もありそう？【26/1/15 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Nikkei Average Corrects for Now, but U.S. After-Hours Is Already Rebounding!? Is There a Chance the Risk-Off Market Is Already Over? [26/1/15 (Thu)]
7d -0.9% ✓30d +3.5% ✗90d +5.1% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】日経平均が一旦調整も、米時間外はすでに反発！？リスクオフ相場はもう終了の可能性もありそう？【26/1/15 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Nikkei Average Corrects for Now, but U.S. After-Hours Is Already Rebounding!? Is There a Chance the Risk-Off Market Is Already Over? [26/1/15 (Thu)]
7d -0.4% ✗30d -1.5% ✗90d +1.1% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】日本株には下落のシグナルがまだないものの週内の過熱感からの調整を警戒、ドル円は短期調整の兆候が出てくる展開【26/1/14 (水)】
【Today's market recap】There's still no signal of a decline in Japanese stocks, but watch for a correction from the week's overheating; the dollar-yen is showing signs of a short-term correction【26/1/14 (Wed)】
7d -0.6% ✓30d -4.0% ✓90d +0.0% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】火曜日の上昇は空売りの解消も巻き込む可能性あり！23日召集の通常国会冒頭での衆院解散検討の材料でまだまだ上昇を続ける可能性【週間日本株予想 2026/1/12～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Tuesday's rise may also drag in the unwinding of short selling! With the material of a possible lower house dissolution at the opening of the ordinary Diet session convened on the 23rd, the rise may well continue further【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/12～】
7d +1.7% ✓30d +7.2% ✓90d +4.6% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】今日の下落はSQ絡み！？時間外先物は場が引けたとたんに反発を開始！ドル円にもおかしな値動きは見られず調整は短期の可能性も？【26/1/8 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Is Today's Drop SQ-Related!? After-Hours Futures Began Rebounding the Moment the Session Closed! No Strange Price Moves in Dollar-Yen Either — Could the Correction Be Short-Term? [26/1/8 (Thu)]
7d +0.1% ✓30d +5.3% ✓90d +6.3% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】2026年最初の立ち合いは大幅上昇！相場は過熱感に耐えられるのか！？自分の持ち株は上昇が弱く過熱感とは無縁な件【26/1/5 (月)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The First Trading Session of 2026 Rises Sharply! Can the Market Withstand the Sense of Overheating!? The Matter of My Own Holdings Rising Weakly and Having Nothing to Do With Overheating [26/1/5 (Mon)]
7d +2.0% ✗30d +2.5% ✗90d +1.7% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】堅調な見通しの米経済指標、市場予想通りならハイテク株に売り材料！？【週間日本株予想 2026/1/5～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Firm outlook for US economic indicators — if they match market expectations, will that be a selling factor for tech stocks!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/5～】
7d +1.5% ✗30d +0.8% ✗90d -6.0% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】堅調な見通しの米経済指標、市場予想通りならハイテク株に売り材料！？【週間日本株予想 2026/1/5～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Firm outlook for US economic indicators — if they match market expectations, will that be a selling factor for tech stocks!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/5～】
7d +0.7% ✓30d -1.1% ✗90d +1.6% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】日経平均5万円の攻防！米ハイテク株下落受けソフトバンクグループ5%超の下落へ。勝負は米ハイテク株下落が金曜単独かそれとも週内も続くのか【週間日本株予想 2025/12/15～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】The battle over the Nikkei average's 50,000 yen! Following the drop in US tech stocks, SoftBank Group heads for a fall of over 5%. The contest is whether the drop in US tech stocks was confined to Friday or continues into the week【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/12/15～】
7d +5.9% ✗30d +5.7% ✗90d -14.2% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】アメリカで発表される重要な経済指標、ADP雇用統計とISM非製造業景況指数でFRBの利下げ観測は強まる！？ドル円には素直に円高要因と予想【25/12/3 (水)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will the Important Economic Indicators Released in the U.S., the ADP Employment Report and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, Strengthen Expectations for a Fed Rate Cut!? Predicted to Be a Straightforward Yen-Strengthening Factor for Dollar-Yen [25/12/3 (Wed)]
7d +0.4% ✗30d +1.2% ✗90d +1.7% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】日経平均とTOPIXは大幅続落を否定、調整は通常の範囲か早いタイミングで反発に！？グロース250には厳しい展開。ドル円は1営業日で利上げ折り込み？【25/12/2 (火)】
【Today's Market Recap】The Nikkei Average and TOPIX rejected a big continued decline — is the correction within the normal range, with a rebound coming at an early timing!? A tough development for Growth 250. Has dollar-yen priced in a rate hike in a single trading day?【25/12/2 (Tue)】
7d +0.4% ✗30d +2.7% ✗90d +12.0% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】利益確定と日銀の利上げ観測で売られる展開！日銀の利上げは予想範囲内も週初の下落は値幅ギリギリ、ドル円は下押されるも相場展開が変わるほどとは考えず【25/12/1 (月)】
【Today's market recap】Selling on profit-taking and expectations of a BOJ rate hike! The BOJ's rate hike was within expectations, but the start-of-week decline is right at the limit of the range; the dollar-yen is pushed down, but I don't think it's enough to change the market picture【25/12/1 (Mon)】
7d -0.4% ✗30d +0.3% ✓90d +0.4% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】TOPIXは最高値更新、日経平均は52000円を目指す！！米株を大きく上回ることは難しいものの、米株上昇に連れ高する展開を予想【週間日本株予想 2025/12/1～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】TOPIX renews its record high, the Nikkei average aims for 52,000 yen!! Though greatly outperforming US stocks is difficult, we forecast a development of rising in sympathy with US stocks【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/12/1～】
7d +1.4% ✓30d +2.2% ✓90d +16.9% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】祝日の日本市場に特にお話しするような異常事態は無し、米市場の時間外上昇も好材料。為替は若干円安推移も自律反発の範囲内で想定内【25/11/24 (月)】
【Today's Market Recap】No abnormal situation worth talking about in the Japanese market on the holiday; the after-hours rise in the US market is also a positive. FX moved slightly toward a weaker yen, but within the range of a technical rebound and as expected【25/11/24 (Mon)】
7d +1.3% ✓30d +3.6% ✓90d +17.8% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】自律反発を挟みながら下落を継続、日経平均とTOPIXには値幅と下落の強さに差が出ると予想！米株は100日単純移動平均線下抜けるかの勝負【週間日本株予想 2025/11/24～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】The decline continues with technical rebounds interspersed; we forecast a difference will emerge between the Nikkei average and TOPIX in the range of movement and the strength of the fall! For US stocks, the contest is whether they break below the 100-day simple moving average【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/11/24～】
7d +1.3% ✗30d +3.6% ✗90d +17.8% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】やばいな・・・、土曜日の予想とは違って株がまだ上がりそう！？米株には反転シグナル出始め、指標発表での急落でも無ければこのまま上昇と円安が続く？【25/11/12 (水)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] This Is Bad… Contrary to Saturday's Forecast, Stocks Look Like They Could Still Rise!? Reversal Signals Are Starting to Appear in U.S. Stocks — Will the Rise and Yen Weakness Continue Unless There's a Plunge on an Indicator Release? [25/11/12 (Wed)]
7d -3.6% ✗30d +2.0% ✓90d +5.6% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】ソフトバンクグループに売りが出て日経平均の上値は重いが、相場全体は買い優勢！好決算銘柄には買いが入りやすい状況は継続中で米株にも上昇の予兆あり【25/11/12 (水)】
【Today's market recap】Selling came out in SoftBank Group and the Nikkei average's upside is heavy, but buying has the upper hand in the market overall! The situation where stocks with good earnings easily attract buying continues, and there are signs of a rise in US stocks too【25/11/12 (Wed)】
7d -3.6% ✗30d -0.9% ✗90d -1.3% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】底打ちにはまだ早い！？TOPIXはかなり底堅い展開も、米株に出てきていない短期転換シグナル【25/11/6 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
7d +0.3% ✗30d +1.6% ✗90d +4.1% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】底打ちにはまだ早い！？TOPIXはかなり底堅い展開も、米株に出てきていない短期転換シグナル【25/11/6 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
7d -0.4% ✓30d +2.4% ✗90d -2.0% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】底打ちにはまだ早い！？TOPIXはかなり底堅い展開も、米株に出てきていない短期転換シグナル【25/11/6 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
7d +0.1% ✗30d +1.8% ✗90d +1.0% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】米雇用統計は今回も見送り？ただADP雇用統計がそれを補完してくれる可能性大！！それでも米政府機関閉鎖の長期化は相場の大幅調整材料に！？【週間日本株予想 2025/11/3～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Will the US employment report be postponed again this time? But there's a strong chance the ADP employment report will supplement it!! Even so, will a prolonged US government shutdown become a factor for a major market correction!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/11/3～】
7d +0.2% ✗30d +0.8% ✗90d +6.9% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】今回の円安推移はさすがに強すぎる！？日本株にはプラス材料も、極端な円安推移はリスクオフの時に一気に悪材料に【25/10/30 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Isn't This Move Toward Yen Weakness Far Too Strong!? A Plus for Japanese Stocks, but Extreme Yen Weakness Turns Into Bad News All at Once in a Risk-Off [25/10/30 (Thu)]
7d -0.6% ✗30d +1.3% ✓90d -0.5% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】やはりあった為替への口先介入！強めの円高推移でダブルトップ形成を警戒！日経平均は先物下げ渋りも、円高悪材料視には要警戒【25/10/28 (火)】
【Today's market recap】The verbal intervention on the currency was there after all! Watch out for a double top forming amid a fairly strong yen! The Nikkei average's futures decline is slowing, but beware of the strong yen being seen as bad news【25/10/28 (Tue)】
7d +1.0% ✗30d +2.3% ✗90d +1.6% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】日経平均5万円突破は射程圏内！！トランプ大統領からのリスク回避が発生した場合の大暴落にも要警戒【週間日本株予想 2025/10/27～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 50,000 yen on the Nikkei average is within range!! Also be wary of a massive crash should risk-aversion arise from President Trump【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/10/27～】
7d -0.3% ✗30d -2.5% ✗90d +0.6% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】止まらないドル円相場の上昇！リスク回避は入っていない模様で金も下げ止まる展開、資源価格はトランプ政権のロシアへの制裁を材料に上昇へ【25/10/23 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Unstoppable Rise in Dollar-Yen! Risk Aversion Doesn't Appear to Have Set In and Gold Stops Falling Too; Resource Prices Rise on the Trump Administration's Sanctions Against Russia [25/10/23 (Thu)]
7d -3.3% ✗30d -0.6% ✗90d +19.2% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】止まらないドル円相場の上昇！リスク回避は入っていない模様で金も下げ止まる展開、資源価格はトランプ政権のロシアへの制裁を材料に上昇へ【25/10/23 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Unstoppable Rise in Dollar-Yen! Risk Aversion Doesn't Appear to Have Set In and Gold Stops Falling Too; Resource Prices Rise on the Trump Administration's Sanctions Against Russia [25/10/23 (Thu)]
7d -0.9% ✗30d -4.3% ✗90d -3.5% ✗
【今日の相場の振り返り】材料出尽くしで上げ幅縮小、ここからはアメリカ株次第化と思われるものの、そのアメリカ株は結構堅調！ただ予想としてはここから若干軟調に【25/10/21 (火)】
【Today's Market Recap】Gains narrowed as the news was fully priced in; from here it seems to depend on US stocks, but those US stocks are quite firm! Still, my forecast is for it to turn slightly soft from here【25/10/21 (Tue)】
7d +4.1% ✗30d -1.4% ✓90d +7.5% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】高市首相誕生で最大5万円まで上昇！？米リスク回避も好材料！ただ上昇はそこまでで上値は重い？【週間日本株予想 2025/10/20～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】A rise to as much as 50,000 yen with the birth of the Takaichi premiership!? US risk-aversion is also a positive factor! But is that as far as the rise goes, with heavy upside?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/10/20～】
7d +2.5% ✓30d +0.3% ✓90d +12.9% ✓
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】相場の上昇はまだ続く！？いつか見た崩れる前の風景に似ている気がする今日この頃、銘柄と手法を変える？フィラデルフィア連銀製造業景気指数はスキップ【25/10/16 (木)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will the Market's Rise Continue Further!? These Days It Feels Like the Scenery I Once Saw Before a Collapse — Change Stocks and Methods? The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Is Skipped [25/10/16 (Thu)]
7d +3.6% ✓30d +5.8% ✓90d +13.7% ✓
【今日の相場の振り返り】日本株とドル円は落ちるナイフに！！米政府閉鎖折り込みなのか、予想以上に調整が進む展開。米株はまだ下落余地は十分にある状態【25/10/1 (水)】
【Today's market recap】Japanese stocks and the dollar-yen are falling knives!! Is the US government shutdown priced in? The correction is progressing more than expected. US stocks still have plenty of room to fall【25/10/1 (Wed)】
7d +0.6% ✗30d +1.9% ✗90d +2.8% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】為替がレンジ上抜けを試す！？予想値幅範囲内ながらも想定とは異なるタイミングでの強い円安推移発生中！【25/9/24 (水)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will Forex Try to Break Above the Range!? Strong Yen Weakness Is Underway — Within the Forecast Range but at a Different Timing Than Expected! [25/9/24 (Wed)]
7d -1.1% ✗30d +2.9% ✓90d +5.0% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】海外勢の買い姿勢に変化あり！？急落などの予兆は無いものの高値圏で上値が重たくなる展開には要警戒！【週間日本株予想 2025/9/22～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Is there a change in overseas investors' buying stance!? There are no signs of a plunge, but be wary of a development where the upside grows heavy at high levels!【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/22～】
7d -0.0% ✓30d +3.7% ✗90d +8.7% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】海外勢の買い姿勢に変化あり！？急落などの予兆は無いものの高値圏で上値が重たくなる展開には要警戒！【週間日本株予想 2025/9/22～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Is there a change in overseas investors' buying stance!? There are no signs of a plunge, but be wary of a development where the upside grows heavy at high levels!【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/22～】
7d -1.0% ✓30d +8.4% ✗90d +10.8% ✗
【しーさんのトレ乙配信】日本休場もアメリカでは指標発表、今晩はニューヨーク連銀製造業景気指数発表！！市場予想は前回から鈍化、米長期金利低下で米株高円高発生！？【25/9/15 (月)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Japan Is Closed but Indicators Are Released in the U.S. — Tonight the New York Fed Manufacturing Index Comes Out!! The Market Forecast Sees a Slowdown From Last Time; Will Falling U.S. Long-Term Rates Bring Higher U.S. Stocks and a Stronger Yen!? [25/9/15 (Mon)]
7d +0.2% ✗30d +2.4% ✗90d +5.8% ✗
【日経平均・TOPIX】日本の経済指標は悪材料に、短期的な利益確定売りには要警戒。急落リスクがあるとすれば日銀の利上げ！？ただ可能性は低いと予想【週間日本株予想 2025/9/15～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Japan's economic indicators turn into bad news; be wary of short-term profit-taking. If there's a plunge risk, it's a BOJ rate hike!? But we forecast the possibility is low【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/15～】
7d -0.2% ✗30d -0.2% ✗90d +9.5% ✓
【日経平均・TOPIX】日本の経済指標は悪材料に、短期的な利益確定売りには要警戒。急落リスクがあるとすれば日銀の利上げ！？ただ可能性は低いと予想【週間日本株予想 2025/9/15～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Japan's economic indicators turn into bad news; be wary of short-term profit-taking. If there's a plunge risk, it's a BOJ rate hike!? But we forecast the possibility is low【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/15～】
7d +1.3% ✓30d +4.3% ✓90d +11.7% ✓
【ダウ・ナスダック・SP500】小売売上高の多少の悪化は許容範囲内！？反落リスクがあるとすればパウエルFRB議長の利下げに消極的な発言【週間アメリカ株予想 2025/9/15～】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
7d +2.0% ✓30d +1.6% ✓90d +3.8% ✓
【ダウ・ナスダック・SP500】小売売上高の多少の悪化は許容範囲内！？反落リスクがあるとすればパウエルFRB議長の利下げに消極的な発言【週間アメリカ株予想 2025/9/15～】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
7d +1.1% ✓30d +0.4% ✓90d +5.6% ✓
【ダウ・ナスダック・SP500】小売売上高の多少の悪化は許容範囲内！？反落リスクがあるとすればパウエルFRB議長の利下げに消極的な発言【週間アメリカ株予想 2025/9/15～】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
7d +1.2% ✓30d +0.6% ✓90d +3.2% ✓