Steve Hanke Warns: U.S. Treasury Can’t Stop the Bond Market From Exploding
The world is moving away from US Treasuries and the dollar; de-dollarization erodes the dollar's power.
7d +0.8% ✗30d in 10d90d in 70d
65CRISPYBooger Score · 50 is a coin flip
50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
crispy — well clear of luck. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most coveredUS dollar 9 →US Treasury yields 9 →U.S. stocks 5 →
30d record, oldest first
The record
76 calls · newest first · every one links to its source🚨 U.S. Decline - War, Debt, and Surging Treasury Yields
Treasury yields surge amid war, debt and US decline.
7d +1.0% ✗30d in 5d90d in 65d
🚨 The real risk isn't stocks — it's bonds
The real risk is in bonds rather than stocks, implying bond prices fall.
7d +1.5% ✗30d in 2d90d in 62d
Gerald Celente: De-Dollarization, Gold Surge & Decline of the West -The Coming "Greatest" Depression
Silver price surge in 2026
7d +5.6% ✓30d +7.9% ✓90d in 51d
The Bond Market Just Sent Its Biggest Warning Since 2007 | Iran War & Debt Crisis
Treasury yields keep rising despite the Fed pause; war, debt and deficits push long-term yields higher
7d +0.2% ✓30d +0.7% ✓90d in 48d
Steve Hanke: The Iran War & Energy Geopolitics - America's Economic Decline Ahead
Inflation and Fed policy lead to surging bond yields and a global bond market crisis
7d +0.3% ✓30d +2.4% ✓90d in 47d
U.S. ECONOMY ON THE BRINK - $200 Oil, Inflation Surge & Bond Market Warning | Larry McDonald
The future of the U.S. dollar is decline in a multipolar world.
7d +0.2% ✗30d -2.3% ✓90d in 35d
Bond Market Chaos Erupts - Sell Off Triggered as Oil Rallies on Renewed US-Iran War
Oil rallies on renewed US-Iran war.
7d +9.1% ✓30d +3.5% ✓90d in 29d
Bond Market Chaos Erupts - Sell Off Triggered as Oil Rallies on Renewed US-Iran War
Bond market chaos and a sell-off have been triggered (bond prices falling).
7d -0.9% ✓30d -2.2% ✓90d in 29d
Japan's YEN IS CRASHING as the BOND CRISIS BLEEDS Into Currency Markets
Japan's bond crisis is deepening (JGB prices falling / yields rising).
7d +0.8% ✗30d +0.7% ✗90d in 25d
🔥 CHINA RE-WRITES GOLD MARKETS
China is re-writing gold markets, implying higher gold prices from Chinese demand/pricing power.
7d -0.7% ✗30d +6.6% ✓90d in 22d
🔥 Japan's YEN COLLAPSE - America's NEXT FINANCIAL CRISIS #geopolitics #geoeconomic
Japan's yen is collapsing, setting off America's next financial crisis.
7d +1.0% ✗30d +1.9% ✗90d in 21d
U.K. Economic Crisis Begins - Bond Markets Trigger Warnings
U.K. borrowing figures are pushing gilt yields higher amid a deepening fiscal crisis — implying falling gilt prices.
7d +3.6% ✗30d -9.9% ✓90d in 6d
GOLD OVERTAKES U.S. DOLLAR as Central Banks Abandon U.S. Treasuries
De-dollarization and central bank abandonment of U.S. Treasuries in favor of gold undermines the U.S. dollar.
7d -0.3% ✓30d +0.8% ✗90d -1.1% ✓
Japan's $8 TRILLION Bond Market MELTDOWN Is ALREADY HITTING U.S. Economy - Yen Carry Unwind
Japanese capital repatriation will drain liquidity from U.S. stock and Treasury markets, threatening Wall Street.
7d +1.2% ✗30d -2.1% ✓90d +1.8% ✗
The $22 Trillion Shock - The Biggest Bubble in America Is Exploding
The S&P 500 is outperforming many private equity funds.
7d +1.1% ✓30d -2.1% ✗90d +1.8% ✓
The $22 Trillion Shock - The Biggest Bubble in America Is Exploding
Investors are turning toward gold and silver as safer assets amid the private equity bubble bursting.
7d -1.7% ✗30d -23.9% ✗90d -10.2% ✗
Japan Just Triggered America’s Debt Crisis — Bond Market Panic Spreads
Collapsing bond demand from Japanese investors puts America's debt bubble in dangerous territory, implying falling Treasury prices.
7d +1.8% ✗30d +2.6% ✗90d -0.3% ✓
Japan Just Triggered America’s Debt Crisis — Bond Market Panic Spreads
As Japanese investors pull money out of U.S. Treasuries and repatriate capital, Treasury yields are surging and borrowing costs exploding.
7d -2.9% ✗30d -1.7% ✗90d +1.5% ✓
Steve Hanke: The New Commodity Super Cycle - Why Everyone is Hoarding Gold & Oil (Highlights)
A new commodity super cycle is underway with everyone hoarding gold.
7d -3.7% ✗30d -12.6% ✗90d -6.8% ✗
Steve Hanke: Oil Shock - U.S. Reserves at 60 Days as Extreme Global Shortages Loom
Extreme global oil shortages loom with U.S. reserves at only 60 days, implying an oil price shock.
7d +10.8% ✓30d -6.9% ✗90d -20.3% ✗
THE BIGGEST Energy Crisis "IN HISTORY" Hits Global Economy
The Hormuz closure shakes gas and LNG markets, driving the biggest energy shock in modern history.
7d -8.4% ✗30d -4.4% ✗90d -31.3% ✗
THE WORST CRISIS IN HISTORY!" - EU Chief Says Europe Will Face YEARS of Pain
With the Strait of Hormuz disrupted, prices are surging and Europe faces years of high energy costs.
7d +3.4% ✓30d +6.7% ✓90d +40.6% ✓
World Bank & the IMF Forecast Iran War to Trigger 1970s-Style Crisis
Interest rates could stay painfully high with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing amid war-driven stagflation.
7d -0.2% ✗30d +1.7% ✓90d +5.5% ✓
U.S. Dollar EXPLODES - Iran War Is Driving the Dollar HIGHER, Will It Crash?
The Iran war is driving the dollar higher via safe-haven demand and rising oil prices.
7d -1.5% ✗30d -1.4% ✗90d +1.2% ✓
PetroDollar Is DEAD, Yuan Is REPLACING the Dollar in Oil Trade - The END for U.S. Economic Power
The petrodollar is dead and U.S. dollar dominance/economic power is ending.
7d -1.6% ✓30d -2.0% ✓90d +0.9% ✗
The WORST Case Scenario Is HERE: This Will Send Oil Above $200/Barrel & Trigger a Global Food Crisis
The worst-case scenario of Houthi disruption of the Red Sea/Bab el-Mandeb will send oil above $200/barrel.
7d -5.7% ✗30d +1.8% ✓90d -30.6% ✗
$30 TRILLION BOND MARKET COLLAPSE - Iran War Is SHATTERING U.S. Economy | EXPLAINER
The $30 trillion US Treasury market will collapse with rising yields, collapsing liquidity and extreme volatility.
7d +0.3% ✗30d -0.2% ✓90d +1.8% ✗
🚨 The WORST Energy EMERGENCY In Modern History
Brent crude is already above $100 and could hit $200 per barrel if the conflict continues — the largest oil supply shock in modern history.
7d +1.0% ✓30d +0.5% ✓90d +2.4% ✓
The PETRODOLLAR COLLAPSE: Iran Accelerates The RISE of PETROYUAN and De-Dollarization Globally
Iran's push to settle oil trades in Chinese yuan accelerates the rise of the petroyuan.
7d +0.5% ✓30d -0.8% ✗90d -1.6% ✗
This Is The WORST Energy EMERGENCY In Modern History - Oil On Track To $200 As Iran War Rages
Diesel prices are spiking past $5 and continuing to surge amid the supply shock.
7d +7.6% ✓30d -2.9% ✗90d -23.7% ✗
This Is The WORST Energy EMERGENCY In Modern History - Oil On Track To $200 As Iran War Rages
Surging jet fuel costs are crushing airlines like American Airlines.
7d -5.8% ✓30d +6.4% ✗90d +48.8% ✗
This Is The WORST Energy EMERGENCY In Modern History - Oil On Track To $200 As Iran War Rages
Surging jet fuel costs are crushing airlines like Delta Air Lines.
7d -3.0% ✓30d +5.0% ✗90d +32.3% ✗
Market CRASH Is Coming: $1.8 Trillion Market MELTDOWN Has Begun As Private Credit Bubble Pops
Private credit giants like Apollo face record defaults and rising risks.
7d -1.3% ✓30d +14.3% ✗90d +25.3% ✗
Strait of Hormuz SHUTDOWN: The Iran War Just Triggered a Global Food Crisis (Not Just Oil)
Nearly a third of global nitrogen fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz; disruption will tighten supply and raise fertilizer prices.
7d -3.4% ✗30d +2.1% ✓90d -5.9% ✗
US Economic COLLAPSE Is Beginning: $3 TRILLION Credit Market Bubble Is Popping
BlackRock's HPS Corporate Lending Fund hit its redemption cap, signaling stress that could trigger a broader financial shock.
7d -1.5% ✓30d +0.1% ✗90d +4.5% ✗
US Economic COLLAPSE Is Beginning: $3 TRILLION Credit Market Bubble Is Popping
Redemption pressure and rising defaults are hitting firms like KKR.
7d -5.3% ✓30d -0.2% ✓90d +2.7% ✗
US Economic COLLAPSE Is Beginning: $3 TRILLION Credit Market Bubble Is Popping
Redemption pressure and rising defaults are hitting firms like Blackstone.
7d -3.2% ✓30d +1.9% ✗90d +4.2% ✗
US Economic COLLAPSE Is Beginning: $3 TRILLION Credit Market Bubble Is Popping
The $3 trillion private credit bubble is popping, with rising defaults, redemption pressure, and liquidity stress.
7d -2.6% ✓30d +0.0% ✗90d +0.4% ✗
US Economic COLLAPSE Is Beginning: $3 TRILLION Credit Market Bubble Is Popping
Redemption pressure and rising defaults are hitting firms like Blue Owl Capital.
7d -10.7% ✓30d -13.7% ✓90d -1.7% ✓
The WORST NIGHTMARE Is Here: $100 Oil, Global Inflation Wave, Labor Market Crashes
Stocks are falling — the S&P 500 dropped 1.7% — as markets brace for an economic shock.
7d -1.4% ✓30d -2.7% ✓90d +8.6% ✗
The WORST NIGHTMARE Is Here: $100 Oil, Global Inflation Wave, Labor Market Crashes
A global inflation wave is coming as energy costs rise.
7d -2.3% ✓30d -2.5% ✓90d -3.6% ✓
Iran War UNLEASHES GLOBAL WAVE OF INFLATION as Rising Energy Prices STRANGLE Economies
Higher oil will fuel higher gas prices.
7d +11.0% ✓30d +23.9% ✓90d +17.3% ✓
Iran War UNLEASHES GLOBAL WAVE OF INFLATION as Rising Energy Prices STRANGLE Economies
Rising food costs will follow the energy shock.
7d +1.3% ✓30d +3.3% ✓90d +1.7% ✓
European Gas Prices SOAR 37%, Oil Surges as EU SHIFTS TO RUSSIA on Iran War & Qatar Halting Output
LNG markets are tightening as QatarEnergy suspends output.
7d +10.0% ✓30d -3.6% ✗90d +8.6% ✓
European Gas Prices SOAR 37%, Oil Surges as EU SHIFTS TO RUSSIA on Iran War & Qatar Halting Output
Brent crude jumped and oil surges on the Hormuz closure and Qatar halting output.
7d +13.0% ✓30d +34.8% ✓90d +17.9% ✓
European Gas Prices SOAR 37%, Oil Surges as EU SHIFTS TO RUSSIA on Iran War & Qatar Halting Output
European gas prices are soaring 37-45%, to $785 per 1,000 cubic meters, with panic buying returning after the Hormuz closure.
7d +2.5% ✓30d +2.6% ✓90d -2.4% ✗
MICHAEL HUDSON: Trump's Middle East OIL WAR Will COLLAPSE the DOLLAR System
Trump's Middle East oil war will collapse the dollar system.
7d -0.2% ✓30d +1.0% ✗90d +0.1% ✗
IRAN CLOSES THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IN RESPONSE TO TRUMP'S ATTACK - Global Oil SHOCK Incoming
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz means a global oil shock is incoming; a sustained closure could push prices sharply higher.
7d +33.1% ✓30d +42.3% ✓90d +29.4% ✓
The EU Is DITCHING VISA & MASTERCARD, Implements DIGITAL EURO by 2029
The EU is ditching Mastercard in favor of a sovereign digital euro alternative by 2029.
7d +1.0% ✗30d -4.5% ✓90d -4.4% ✓
The EU Is DITCHING VISA & MASTERCARD, Implements DIGITAL EURO by 2029
The EU is ditching Visa in favor of a sovereign digital euro alternative by 2029.
7d -0.9% ✓30d -6.4% ✓90d +1.7% ✗
FIRST U.S. BANK COLLAPSES IN 2026 - And It Won’t Be the Last
The first U.S. bank failure of 2026 'won't be the last' — more small U.S. banks will fail in a high-interest-rate environment.
7d +4.8% ✗30d -3.9% ✓90d -0.9% ✓
US Dollar CRASHES to 4-Year LOW, Gold Hits RECORD $5,000 & SURPASSES US Treasuries as Reserve Asset
Rising gold reserves and reduced central bank exposure to U.S. debt weaken the dollar's long-term role.
7d +1.2% ✗30d +1.2% ✗90d +2.3% ✗
Japan's Bond SHOCK - Debt Market IMPLOSION Is Collapsing Global Economies
Japan's ultra-long bonds are collapsing, with the 40-year yield above 4% and further deterioration ahead
7d +0.2% ✗30d +1.6% ✗90d -0.4% ✓
Japan's Bond SHOCK - Debt Market IMPLOSION Is Collapsing Global Economies
The Japanese bond selloff is shaking equities as the carry trade unwinds
7d +1.3% ✗30d +1.0% ✗90d +3.7% ✗
Japan's Bond SHOCK - Debt Market IMPLOSION Is Collapsing Global Economies
A massive yen carry-trade unwind is threatened, implying a stronger yen
7d +0.5% ✓30d +8.1% ✓90d +2.4% ✓
Japan's Bond SHOCK - Debt Market IMPLOSION Is Collapsing Global Economies
Japan's bond shock is lifting gold
7d +8.3% ✓30d +6.0% ✓90d -3.6% ✗
Europe's CRISIS Escalates - Soaring Dependence on the US Holds the EU Hostage
EU dependence on U.S. LNG puts Europe at risk of soaring gas prices
7d +8.0% ✓30d -6.6% ✗90d +12.3% ✓
LAST WARNING: Trump Hijacks the Fed, Economic Crisis Looms
Loss of Fed independence leads to higher inflation and rising borrowing costs — i.e. higher Treasury yields
7d -1.1% ✓30d +2.0% ✗90d -0.2% ✓
END of US DOLLAR - Global Repricing Has Begun (the Evidence Is WORSE Than You Think)
The dollar's 2025 decline marks a structural repricing, not a cycle — DXY heads lower
7d +0.2% ✗30d -1.9% ✓90d +2.5% ✗
Planning for WAR? Germany, Poland and the UK Accelerate Military Expansion by 2027
Rheinmetall is positioned to receive tens of billions in contracts from Germany's €377 billion defense procurement plan.
7d +5.7% ✓30d +14.5% ✓90d +1.1% ✓
Trump’s Secret Fed Takeover - Markets Brace for Chaos
A perceived loss of Fed independence under a Trump-aligned Fed chair means long-term rates could rise, not fall.
7d +1.5% ✓30d +2.9% ✓90d -0.5% ✗
Japan Just Pulled the TRIGGER - Brace for Impact
The yen is surging after months of weakness, driven by the Bank of Japan's possible December rate hike.
7d +0.4% ✓30d +1.7% ✓90d +11.1% ✓
Japan Just Pulled the TRIGGER - Brace for Impact
Japan's rising yields are dragging U.S. and European yields higher, with the 10-year back above 4%.
7d -0.9% ✓30d -1.6% ✓90d +2.0% ✗
Japan Is DUMPING U.S. Debt — A Global Market IMPLOSION Is Coming
Japanese government bonds are falling with yields at 20- and 30-year highs.
7d -0.7% ✓30d -1.3% ✓90d -0.8% ✓
Japan Is DUMPING U.S. Debt — A Global Market IMPLOSION Is Coming
Japan's stimulus package has sent the yen to its weakest levels in nearly a year and it will keep falling despite possible intervention.
7d +0.2% ✗30d +1.0% ✗90d +13.7% ✗
Japan Is DUMPING U.S. Debt — A Global Market IMPLOSION Is Coming
Japanese investors repatriating capital will end Japan's Treasury buying, pushing U.S. borrowing costs up and Treasury prices down.
7d -1.0% ✓30d -0.4% ✓90d +3.1% ✗
DANGEROUS A.I. Bubble Will Wipe Out US Market - The DARK Side of A.I. Expansion
Record AI-driven bond supply from Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft and Oracle will cause 'supply indigestion' and strain credit markets.
7d -0.3% ✓30d -0.2% ✓90d +1.2% ✗
DANGEROUS A.I. Bubble Will Wipe Out US Market - The DARK Side of A.I. Expansion
Oracle's $18B debt issuance to fund data-center expansion is part of an unsustainable AI debt wave that will unwind.
7d +2.1% ✗30d +0.5% ✗90d -28.1% ✓
DANGEROUS A.I. Bubble Will Wipe Out US Market - The DARK Side of A.I. Expansion
A dangerous AI bubble will wipe out the US market in a coming AI correction.
7d +0.9% ✗30d +2.4% ✗90d +1.1% ✗
🔥 Warning: $36 TRILLION AI Bubble Is Bursting
The $36 trillion AI bubble is bursting and AI valuations will collapse.
7d +4.1% ✗30d +6.4% ✗90d +22.8% ✗
🚨 De-Dollarization Is Reaching 100%: Russia & China Bypass the West Entirely
Accelerating de-dollarization — 99.1% of Russia-China trade in rubles and yuan, plus BRICS alternative payment systems — is weakening the dollar's monopoly.
7d +0.9% ✗30d -1.1% ✓90d -2.4% ✓
AI Boom Is OVER - The Next Economic Crisis Will Destroy US Economy
Nvidia's $5 trillion valuation is part of a deflating AI bubble built on a fragile circular financing loop.
7d -0.7% ✓30d -6.6% ✓90d -7.6% ✓
E.U. Is BREAKING UP - Brussels DITCHES Hungary and Slovakia as It Bans Russian Gas by 2028
The EU ban on Russian gas imports will raise European energy prices and deepen reliance on US energy imports.
7d -1.1% ✗30d -2.5% ✗90d +13.1% ✓
U.S. Banking Crisis Incoming - $100 Billion Market Shock and Fraud Reveal Deeper Credit Threats
Zions Bancorp is highly exposed to the emerging credit/fraud problems signaling a coming US banking crisis.
7d +1.7% ✗30d -4.3% ✓90d +14.7% ✗
Massive Market CORRECTION Incoming - Valuations Soar as AI Investments Trigger Financial Crash
A massive market correction is incoming as AI-driven valuations soar and markets face a sudden correction.
7d +1.4% ✗30d +1.4% ✗90d +5.0% ✗