S&P 500 Rips As Yields Reject: My Levels Right Now - Gold, Silver, Oil, Bitcoin & More
The ten-year yield has put in a double top and rejected, implying lower yields ahead.
50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
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Most coveredBitcoin 19 →Gold 16 →Silver 15 →
The ten-year yield has put in a double top and rejected, implying lower yields ahead.
Dollar-yen broke support, the line flipped to resistance and it is bear flagging lower amid intervention.
Gareth Soloway sees roughly 10% downside in oil from current levels.
He stayed bullish on the S&P 500 while it held above the trend line, with lower yields and lower oil easing the math.
Gold is hammering into support with the bull line in the sand near $4,325; if that breaks he expects a move to a lower level where he begins nibbling and accumulating.
Natural gas is breaking out and is his favorite commodity to invest in, with a breakout now in progress.
Bitcoin is cracking/breaking down; Gareth Soloway identifies lower levels where he wants to buy it back.
He gives his copper short trigger and downside target.
The same short setup appears on Agnico Eagle; miners have gotten ahead of themselves in the short term.
The same short setup appears on Newmont Mining; miners have run further than gold itself can justify.
Four-factor confluence stacking on GDX at resistance (gap fill, extension move, ascending trend line, 0.618 Fib retrace) — short-term swing short.
HBAR breaking through a key trend line to the upside.
NASDAQ signaling near-term strength with upside before a potential major bear market
Bitcoin has cleared its descending trend line, consolidated and is turning up, with ~$65,400 as the trigger level for further upside.
Ethereum shows a classic inverse head and shoulders and bullish flag, pointing higher.
Solana has a cup-and-handle breakout with a target near $100.
The 30-year yield is breaking out to levels not seen since 2007.
The 10-year yield is holding its uptrend near 4.7% with 4.8% and 5% in view.
He is buying physical gold ahead of what the cycles point to around 2030-2031, implying higher prices.
DXY is rejecting off resistance and forming a bearish MA pattern, pointing lower as de-dollarization accelerates.
Already long IBIT on the early break above the descending trend line, targeting a measured move
Google filling a gap into layered resistance, part of the short-term short setup across the Magnificent Seven
Trapped buyers selling into the gap fill create resistance; projected pullback near $570
Short-term short setup after a 25% three-day surge into overhead resistance, targeting a pullback toward $465
Silver's cycle rhymes with 2010-2011 and points to one more leg lower toward the $50 zone before a long-term bottom; ~70% probability
Applied Materials at its support zone is a beaten-down chip name set up for a bounce
Structure change confirming on the Nasdaq 100 with a lower low negating the bullish side until proven otherwise
The 1980 roadmap points to a breakout, a hover along the trendline, then one more flush lower before the bigger bottom sets in
Short position initiated via USO on oil at major resistance
Bear flag risk in natural gas
Qualcomm approaching major technical support with odds stacked toward a bounce
Chainlink breakout watch as part of the bullish near-term altcoin setups
XRP could rally 50% back toward $1.50 if it confirms
Silver buy levels laid out on the ladder before he starts buying
Dow could grind toward 100,000 before the top
Possible oil swing short at $86 to $87
Possibility of a grind toward 10,000 on the S&P before the ultimate top
Short setup on Apple at trendline resistance as money rotates from semis into Apple
Support zone and expected bounce target on Nebius Group; nibbling in thirds
Support zone and expected bounce target on Marvell; nibbling in thirds
Starting to buy Micron on the pullback into support with an expected bounce
Support zone and expected bounce target on SanDisk; buying select semis on the pullback
Newmont Mining at a level intriguing for a swing trade long
GDX hitting a level that is getting very intriguing for a long swing trade
Sentiment on IBM has gotten so negative that a snapback is coming
Apple is acting as a safe haven with key resistance at $333
Western Digital is breaking down hard as part of the memory cycle top that can fall 75% or more within twelve months
Seagate is a cycle top that can fall 75%+ within twelve months, with a gap down at $577 to $580
Sentiment on Oracle has gotten so negative that a snapback is coming
Bitcoin triggered a major breakout; inverse head and shoulders points at a $71,000 to $71,500 target, with a short squeeze fueled by one-sided bearish sentiment
Microsoft in a bullish consolidation as money rotates in
Meta highlighted as a beneficiary of money rotation after a ~24% two-week rally
Ethereum is forming the same bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern with a measured-move upside target.
Solana retrace setup into a bullish continuation.
LG Electronics, the leading indicator, is down/heading down 57%.
Samsung is hanging on to support with 38% downside risk.
Intel weak close points to a $107 gap fill target.
Semis will fall 75%; SOXX engulfing reversal targets $522.
GDX trend-line breakdown with an accumulation zone down at $54 to $58.
Longer term still very bullish gold.
Near Protocol is a laggard beginning to move higher.
Cardano is a laggard starting to wake up.
The British pound has broken out against the dollar.
The euro has broken out against the dollar and heads higher.
USD/JPY has broken out and continues higher, risking intervention like 2024.
DXY is at make-or-break major resistance and the dovish Warsh/rate-cut case points the dollar lower.
Nasdaq semiconductor breadcrumbs are flashing warning of downside.
A break back below 7,070-7,080 opens the door to 7,000 and a possible 20%-plus drawdown.
Gold has not confirmed a bottom and likely trades lower to his buy levels before a major bottom.
Oil hit his buy zone and he is buying now (via USO), with the gap fill at $67 in play for a near-term long.
Natural gas wedge sets up a move back toward $4.30.
Silver moves down to $54 where he starts accumulating.
Avalanche reclaiming its trend line is bullish.
Aave bull flag breakout points higher.
SK Hynix will drop 75% as the AI memory bubble cracks.
SanDisk and the memory stocks head lower on incoming share supply and margin compression.
Micron will drop 75% toward his stated downside targets as the memory trade tops and smart money unloads.
Palladium trades down into his buy level.
Platinum trades down into his buy zone.
Copper breakdown and retrace lower.
The logarithmic parallel channel on the Dow plus the 100-year cycle points to a major collapse in the 2028 into 2029 window.
If Bitcoin loses $63,500-$63,700, the head and shoulders measured move puts worst case around $35,000.
The weekly topping tail on the SOX is still alive and in control, pointing semis lower.
Chainlink bottoming tail plus inside bar breakout, best case back toward $10.
XRP included in the bullish inside-bar breakout group with levels to watch higher.
Bitcoin shows a hidden bullish reversal signal that could trigger a relief rally to $75,000.
A hidden parallel trendline on NVDA could set up a major bounce play.
Oil is in a bearish consolidation implying downside.
Gareth is nibbling starter long positions in ETH at long-term trend line support, expecting a bounce.
Gareth is taking starter long positions in SOL, expecting the altcoins to bounce.
Gareth is currently short COPX, expecting copper miners to fall.
SOXX is in uncharted bubble territory and set to correct.
QQQ is hitting logarithmic trendline resistance in bubble territory, warning of a downside move.
Zcash is showing bearish warning formations.
Maximum pessimism on Cardano ('Cardano is dead') is a buy signal.
Cardano is consolidating below trend with limited upside until resistance breaks.
Solana has limited upside and is capped by resistance at $86-87.
Ethereum broke its trend line and is headed toward the $1,740 double-bottom support.
Atlassian is breaking out of a bull flag with a target of $145.
Asana targets approximately $11.
Adobe has 20-25% more upside, targeting $300.
ARM is among the chip plays beginning to crack.
Lumentum is among the chip plays beginning to crack.
Taiwan Semi is among the chip plays beginning to crack.
Intel's chart is beginning to crack as the semiconductor trade rolls over.
Microsoft has a bullish cup and handle setup with upside as rotation money flows into software.
Oracle, down from $345 to $135, is a beaten-down software name set to recover.
Gareth is shorting SOXL to capitalize on semiconductor downside and triple-ETF depreciation.
The NASDAQ Composite is forming a double top at critical resistance.
Gold faces a short-term flush down with support targets at $4,100 and $3,500.
Silver has a bear flag with downside targets of $54 down to $46.
Walmart is weakening and losing leadership.
The S&P 500 is at the biggest bubble in history with 40-year logarithmic trendlines pointing to a market top and cracks beneath the highs.
Nvidia faces a smaller but real downside drop given lower volatility.
Broadcom faces a smaller but real downside drop given lower volatility.
SanDisk has a collapse target to the downside.
XRP is struggling at key resistance with downside if $1.39 breaks.
Bitcoin's bear flag with the $71K line determining the next move; bearish scenario drops BTC to $49K-$32K.
Micron is pulling back sharply with downside price targets.
Copper looks toppy with a short target at $7.00.
The unprecedented semiconductor rally is at a dot-com style top and faces a major correction.
Canadian Dollar breakdown
The Yen shows unique weakness versus other major currencies
Plans to short oil again if it rallies to a specific pivot point; expects downside
SUI technical breakout to the upside
Avalanche technical breakout to the upside
Chainlink heading to next resistance levels after profits
Ethereum has key breakout targets with 30-50% upside
Solana massive wedge squeeze with a $120 target
Unexpected bullish call on Apple ahead of their earnings report
META rolled over in mega cap intraday reversal
MSFT rolled over in mega cap turn
Potential topping tail doji on Intel signals downside
Solana in a precarious bear flag
Ethereum's potential path down to $2,800
XRP swing trade run to $1.80 if it clears $1.55 resistance
SOXX surging 50% off lows signals a semiconductor blow-off top
S&P 500 developing a bull flag with futures popping
Near-term outlook for gold points lower, with a potential drop to the 3900 or even 3500 support range.
Silver was rejected at key resistance and is expected to fall to a lower target buy zone.
Nasdaq Composite will reverse lower at the identified price target resistance.
S&P 500 will hit 6-year resistance and reverse epically lower.
AUD/USD is breaking out against the dollar.
GBP/USD is breaking out against the dollar.
EUR/USD is breaking out against the dollar.
DXY bear flag and breakdown of 12-year support signal major downside as de-dollarization proceeds.
Amazon is hitting dangerous resistance levels and set to turn lower.
Alphabet is hitting dangerous resistance levels and set to turn lower.
Macro chart remains bearish with eventual downside targets potentially as low as $30,000 to $50,000.
Micro bullish breakout could send Bitcoin toward $80,000 in the coming weeks as long as $60,000-$64,000 support holds.
SMH has tagged the 103% extension threshold marking a cycle top; a catastrophic pullback is imminent.
Lumentum's unsustainable parabola is set to break down.
Nvidia is included in the semiconductor cycle-top shorting opportunity warning.
SanDisk's unsustainable parabola is set to break down.
Micron's unsustainable parabola in the memory space is set to break down as memory prices top out.
Oil prices near $99 will stay higher for longer over the next 3 to 6 months.
Crude oil topping tail signals a bearish reversal; oil could fall to fill a gap at $67.25 by year-end.
Palladium drops to a hidden trendline near 1,215.
Platinum drops to a massive buy zone around 1,690.
He is aggressively accumulating beaten-down Microsoft.
He is aggressively accumulating beaten-down Meta.
Silver is set up for a multi-week bounce.
Gold is set up for a multi-week bounce.
Inverse head and shoulders on CAD/USD maps a specific upside breakout target.
The 10-year yield is spiking with sticky inflation and hot PPI, and hopes for multiple rate cuts are vanishing.
The stock market is rolling over into a massive distribution phase.
ETH broke out at $2,150 and targets $2,600 to $2,800.
XRP faces a massive brick wall of resistance at $1.80.
Solana is targeting $120 off a bottoming tail reversal.
The $5,400 doji rejection triggered a macro bear flag; $4,300-$4,400 is the next high-probability downside target, with an ultimate buy zone at $3,450-$3,500.
Silver's flat bear flag shows technical weakness pointing to lower buy zones.
Bitcoin inside bar bull flag is wildly bullish, targeting a squeeze to $80,000-$85,000.
He is looking to strategically buy the dip on beaten-down American Express.
The Nasdaq Composite is holding its support.
A 'fakeout bounce' is likely next week after Friday's flush.
Gareth remains macro bearish on the crypto market long term even while micro bullish short term.
Geopolitical risk premium from Iran strikes will send oil spiking higher into the $77-$80 zone.
Gareth plans to short crude oil at the $77-$80 resistance zone; oil prices will likely cool before the mid-term elections.
The 10-year yield is breaking its trendline and falling, signaling a weak economy.
Bullish breakout targets for GBP/USD as the dollar weakens.
Bullish breakout targets for EUR/USD as the dollar weakens.
The dollar is set to break down through its 20-year trendline support by year-end 2026.
Polkadot given bullish technical breakout levels as part of the short squeeze thesis.
Intuit is oversold software to accumulate for a 10-25% relief rally over 3-6 weeks.
Workday is oversold software to accumulate for a 10-25% relief rally over 3-6 weeks.
ASML is part of the semiconductor short basket for the next 3-6 weeks.
Adobe is oversold software to accumulate for a 10-25% relief rally over 3-6 weeks.
Taiwan Semi is capped by resistance and is a short over the next 3-6 weeks.
Avalanche given technical buy triggers and upside profit targets in the expected relief rally.
Cardano given technical buy triggers and upside profit targets in the expected relief rally.
Chainlink given technical buy triggers and upside profit targets in the expected relief rally.
JPMorgan head and shoulders top targeting a drop to $256.
A relief rally to Nasdaq 23,000 is likely first before the macro bearish resolution.
Bought Microsoft at multi-factor support with a minimum upside target of $443.
Oracle cup and handle formation targeting a +10% move to $200.
Oil ETF USO benefits from the wedge breakout targeting higher oil prices.
Extreme fear in natural gas is a contrarian buy opportunity at the $3.00-$2.80 accumulation zone.
Natural gas is slamming into support and Gareth plans to start buying in the $3.00-$2.80 accumulation zone, implying further downside first.
XRP relief rally to $1.60-$1.75 as a return to the scene of the crime.
ETH breaking back above $2,100 unlocks a 30% rally to $2,600.
Long Solana for a swing trade; setup could trigger a 50% rally back to $120.
China instructing banks to buy less U.S. debt could spike yields even further.
The real economy is stalling and the stock market could correct 20%.
Capitulation volume signals a high-probability swing trade bounce in Bitcoin to $75,000-$77,000; Gareth accumulated heavily.
Head and shoulders forming in Nvidia with a target of $130.
Microsoft is part of the trillion-dollar tech de-risking contagion, already down 26%.
The Nasdaq is the next pillar to fall alongside the S&P 500.
SanDisk is dropping on institutional distribution despite great earnings.
Micron is dropping on institutional distribution despite great earnings.
Palladium is at major uptrend line support and given exact buy levels.
Platinum is at major uptrend line support and given exact buy levels.
XRP broke long-term support — an air pocket and a massive red flag.
Solana is heading down to a double-bottom buy level at $100.
Copper at all-time highs on the new inflation wave from a weakening dollar.
Palladium is signaling a potential 15% drawdown to $1,700.
Platinum analyzed against its trend lines as part of the metals pullback thesis.
Silver's $117.80 high looks like a blow-off cycle top; support at $107.50 on the 25% retrace and a significant pullback is probable.
Conagra recommended as a low P/E defensive staple.
Wheat is advocated as a defensive holding in the dollar-breakdown scenario.
Corn is advocated as a defensive holding in the dollar-breakdown scenario.
The Canadian Dollar is forming a powerful inverse head and shoulders and breaking out against the greenback.
The British Pound is signaling a long-term breakout against the dollar.
The Euro is signaling a long-term breakout against the dollar.
DXY bear flag suggests the dollar plunges toward 89 if it breaks the 95 level.
Crude oil has broken out and is the next big commodity trade; oil should be trading over $100/barrel and $60 oil is unsustainable.
Russell 2000 shows a topping tail and failed breakout in small caps.
Ethereum bear flag breakdown targets $2,100.
Bitcoin is clinging to bear flag support and could slide to the $69,000–$74,000 range if it breaks.
NASDAQ has officially broken support and is heading lower as interest rate fear returns.
Gold shows RSI negative divergence signaling a significant correction on the horizon.
The Japanese 10-year yield continues to soar.
The Dow is set up for a bigger market collapse of up to 20%.
Silver has a major breakout in progress with upside targets.
Gold has a major breakout in progress with upside targets.
SUI included in the continued bullish altcoin forecast.
The S&P 500 is approaching make-or-break trendlines that, if broken, lead to a 20% correction.
The 10-year yield breakout could send long-term rates soaring despite Fed cuts.
Bitcoin is bullish in the near-term based on charts and data, with downside in this cycle much less than past cycles.
OXY has tagged major support / bullish chart pattern and could rally significantly.
KHC has tagged major support / bullish chart pattern and could rally significantly, beating tech and AI in upside.
Palladium targets given as part of the continuing precious metals bull run.
Platinum targets given as part of the continuing precious metals bull run.
Hedera charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Polkadot charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Avalanche charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Cardano charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Chainlink charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
XRP charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Ethereum charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Solana charts show multiple bullish signals suggesting a sharp rally in early January 2026.
Silver may have topped and pull back off a major trendline hit.
Bitcoin cycle analysis pinpoints the likely bottom of this bear move, implying further downside to a long-term accumulation zone.
The Russell 2000 has collapsed off a major trendline and is headed lower.
The NASDAQ 100 trendline has rejected price, signaling downside.
GBP/USD has broken above a significant long-term trendline; the pound will be the strongest performer in 2026.
EUR/USD has broken above a significant long-term trendline; the euro will be among the strongest currencies in 2026.
The Yen will weaken against the Dollar, performing worst of all currencies in 2026 (USD/JPY higher).
The DXY will break a major support trendline established in 2008 during 2026.
Crude oil likely to surge; cup-and-handle pattern gives terrific risk/reward to the buy side with an upside target
Natural gas is setting up for a bounce after its recent sharp drop
ORCL's aggressive debt raise plus 2-3 year chip depreciation sets up a major collapse in the AI trade / ORCL stock
NASDAQ seeing institutional distribution, high probability of downside
INTC tagging a potential cycle high sell level and likely to pull back sharply in coming weeks and months
AAPL slammed into a strong sell level at a potential cycle high and is likely to pull back sharply in coming weeks and months
Silver surging to new all-time highs with further upside targets
Gold breaking out of its wedge pattern with upside targets
Platinum has a 'very bullish' chart setup
Upside from the recent bounce is limited and there is major downside ahead for the market
Charts suggest one more pullback in palladium before the next bull run
Charts suggest one more pullback in platinum before the next bull run
SMH weekly 200-MA extension signals further downside
XRP is a buy with upside targets per the crypto forecast
Solana is a buy with upside targets per the crypto forecast
Charts say 'buy' on Bitcoin; Gareth has been buying with upside targets
Japan's debt-to-GDP near 240% sets up a credit/debt problem, pushing the Japanese 10-year yield higher
Ethereum tagged a major buy level and is being accumulated
Silver favors near-term downside to key targets.
Notes bearish price action in Robinhood (HOOD).
Notes bearish price action in Palantir (PLTR).
Nvidia's sharp fall signals institutional dumping into retail buying (bearish).
Bitcoin has shown relative weakness and crypto downside is expected to continue toward key support levels.
LINK heading to its recent crash lows.
AVAX heading to its recent crash lows.
ADA heading to its recent crash lows.
Near-term bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on crude oil with a calculated upside target.
Natural gas has broken out and likely has more upside to the stated target.
Mid-to-long-term chart is bearish; after the near-term bounce oil will likely fall to $40-$43 per barrel.
The Pound looks like a breakout on the daily chart, with major Dollar weakening against it.
The Euro looks like a breakout on the daily chart, with the Dollar weakening major against it.
Bear flag formation on gold signals further downside to support levels.
De-risking is likely to spread to the bigger names that control the NASDAQ.
A stock market correction is likely beginning and de-risking will spread to the big names controlling the S&P 500.
A new gold bull run will start soon after the correction, unlike the 1980s.
Palladium could see an equal or greater drop than silver's 20% correction.
Platinum could see an equal or greater drop than silver's 20% correction.
Silver has a next leg higher after the 20% correction.
Maintains a long-term bull market thesis on Bitcoin while acknowledging a possible nearing bear market.
XRP likely to flush lower to stated buy levels.
Solana likely to flush lower to Gareth's stated buy levels.
Crypto including Ethereum is likely to see a next flush lower, with buy levels below current price.
SMH must hold key support or a breakdown/collapse becomes likely.
Silver reversed at predicted resistance into a pullback zone.
Palladium has broken out with upside targets given.
Platinum has broken out with upside targets given.
The Yen chart signals potential weakening against the Dollar, i.e. USD/JPY breakout higher.
Natural gas is surging with a bullish forecast.
Crude oil is breaking down to the downside.
Ethereum needs to clear major resistance to charge above $5,000.
Costco has broken major support and is signaling trouble ahead.
Once NVDA breaks its key trendline, markets drop at least 10%.
NVDA has broken out on the daily chart to new all-time highs with an upside target above.
Meta Platforms has broken major support and is signaling trouble ahead.
Gasoline's bull flag pattern signals roughly 80% upside, with a likely up spike coming.
A head and shoulders pattern has triggered on Bitcoin; BTC has downside to a calculated target which then becomes a buying opportunity.
Parallel channel resistance signals gold will likely pull back at $3,800, potentially as much as 10%.
Japan's stock market is likely due for a sharper correction or collapse as their 10-year yield spikes.
QQQ has a next major chart resistance above current price that it is heading toward, though a Japan/Nikkei carry-trade style selloff comparison is drawn.
The U.S. 10-year yield has risen every day since the Fed cut rates, warning the Fed does not control the long end — implying continued higher yields.
An 8-year trendline will determine whether Bitcoin makes a new all-time high over the next few weeks/months or collapses possibly below $90,000.
Housing, rate cuts, jobs and credit card delinquency data point to another financial crisis / Great Recession brewing, implying broad equity market downside.
Gareth gives an upside target on silver from his technical analysis.
If the bearish topping tail on gold fails, upside potential is nearly $4,000 per ounce.
XRP has classic retrace buy levels below current price, implying a pullback.
Solana has classic retrace buy levels below current price, implying a pullback.
A parallel channel dictates Ethereum price action with buy levels below current price (classic retrace buys), implying a pullback first.
Rough rice is showing signs of a major bullish move higher.
Oats are showing signs of a major bullish move higher.
Soybeans are at multi-year lows and showing signs of a major bullish move.
The Canadian dollar strengthens versus the USD as the Dollar breaks down.
Wheat is at multi-year lows and breaking out, part of a grains trade offering 30-40% upside.
Corn is at multi-year lows and showing signs of a major bullish move with 30-40% upside.
The yen is strengthening versus the Dollar as the Dollar breaks down.
GBP/USD is near or already breaking out higher against the Dollar.
EUR/USD is near or already breaking out higher against the Dollar.
The DXY is borderline a major breakdown; troubling forecast for the U.S. Dollar amid de-dollarization.
Solana has a bullish breakout with an upside target.
Netflix has a major confirmed breakdown with a downside target.