The Bond Market Just Sent Trump a Terrifying Warning
Rising yields could push mortgage rates and business borrowing costs higher.
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Most coveredUS Treasury yields 5 →Crude oil 5 →US Dollar 4 →
Rising yields could push mortgage rates and business borrowing costs higher.
Long-term Treasury yields will keep rising despite Treasury buybacks, since the government cannot beat market fundamentals forever.
Treasury buyback intervention could damage confidence and shift pressure onto the dollar
Oracle's value is falling amid heavy AI data centre spending, uncertain profits and sharply negative cash flow, implying further downside.
If Japan sells its ~$1.14 trillion of US Treasuries to defend the yen, US yields could rise and borrowing costs climb higher.
Tariffs and supply disruption will drive potash and fertiliser costs higher, feeding through to higher food prices.
Refinery outages and multi-year-low inventories will worsen diesel shortages and push diesel prices higher.
Escalating Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption create a supply shock that could push oil prices higher.
Inflation, rising oil prices, large deficits and heavy corporate borrowing are pushing Treasury yields higher, with investors demanding higher returns to lend to Washington.
The yen has crashed to multi-decade lows and intervention may no longer be enough, implying further yen weakness.
Pressure on the yen could spill into America's bond market, pushing Treasury prices down and yields/mortgage rates up.
A 40-50% market crash is coming as big money starts to dump amid the AI bubble.
Even after the Iran deal, energy costs stay elevated and shipping/supply chains won't normalize, feeding inflation.
Markets are too confident about rate cuts; the Fed will hold rates higher for longer and cuts won't come soon.
The AI bubble is popping and Wall Street is beginning to panic as profits fail to match the hype.
Aluminum prices, already at four-year highs, will keep rising as shortages persist through the summer and into next year, raising manufacturer and consumer costs.
Bond yields will keep rising (bond prices falling) as oil prices and inflation fears collide, spiking borrowing costs.
Gas prices are about to explode higher as reserves run empty and global supply tightens.
Equity markets are too focused on AI and are unprepared for higher oil prices.
Diesel, jet fuel and LPG prices will rise as inventories draw down.
The AI bubble is worse than people think and stretched valuations could burst, crashing the market.
Iran/Hormuz escalation turns a price shock into a physical oil supply shock with pandemic-level shortages.
Lower yields from fertilizer cutbacks will mean tighter supply and higher food prices in the months ahead.
Fertilizer supply disruption will push fertilizer costs higher.
Energy prices are rising due to the Iran conflict and will keep feeding US inflation.
US fuel prices are surging on Middle East conflict and this is just the beginning — prices go higher from here.
Aluminum shortages from energy costs and supply disruption will push prices higher in the months ahead.
Oil prices are surging on the Iran war and Hormuz threat, risking an inflationary global recession.
US private credit stress is worsening — record 9.2% default rates are an early sign of a bigger deterioration ahead.
The petroyuan is gaining momentum as more oil is traded in Chinese yuan.
The petrodollar system is cracking and accelerating de-dollarization will weaken the US dollar's global dominance.
An unwinding credit bubble will take stocks down with it.
With the Strait of Hormuz closed, global oil prices will spike massively if the closure continues.
Silver is surging with physical supply tightening, and this is the beginning of a major breakout with more to come.
Gold has surged to record highs as the dollar and US economy weaken, with deeper cracks forming.
Japan's bond market is imploding with yields surging (prices falling), spreading instability globally.
Investors are selling US Treasuries over risk concerns, pushing prices lower.
The dollar is falling and weakness is expected to continue amid tariff tensions and Fed independence concerns.
Record-high, speculation-driven stocks with stretched valuations are fragile and unlikely to stay elevated.
Housing prices are about to go down as delistings skyrocket and the stalled market precedes price adjustments.
Japan's monetary policy shift is pushing global borrowing costs and US Treasury yields higher.
The dollar's 15-year bull run has ended and its decline could be just the beginning of a larger shift away from dollar dominance.
Florida home prices/housing market face decline in 2025 due to insurance costs, oversupply, and climate risk, making it the worst state to buy a home.