Welcome to the Next Temperamental Era
Treasury yields remain elevated and are expected to stay high due to inflation pressures beyond energy, resilient growth, and Fed policy expectations.
Most coveredU.S. Treasury yields 2 →U.S. stock market 2 →U.S. housing and real estate stocks 1 →
Treasury yields remain elevated and are expected to stay high due to inflation pressures beyond energy, resilient growth, and Fed policy expectations.
Opportunities lie in under-owned, rate-sensitive sectors like housing and real estate.
A rotation away from mega-cap dominance is underway, with risks tied to market concentration and speculative activity.
Bond yields are declining globally, favoring rate-sensitive sectors.
The recent bull market rally may be more durable than it appears, driven primarily by strong corporate earnings, though caution is still warranted.
Investors should brace for higher-for-longer rates, with long-term yields remaining elevated on a rising term premium.
Schwab's 2026 Market Outlook is positive, highlighting opportunities for investors in the coming year despite affordability concerns.