US Real Estate Cycles: Dubious Speculation with Jason Pizzino
Dollar weakness expected, with a lower high in the US dollar cycle
50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
plain — indistinguishable from luck. Provisional — too few graded calls to mean much. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most coveredBitcoin 7 →Ethereum 3 →US Dollar 2 →
Dollar weakness expected, with a lower high in the US dollar cycle
Homebuilders (DHI) as an early signal point to a possible 2027 stock-market peak, with a key downside level for homebuilders
The 18-year real estate cycle is mature and real estate is set to peak and decline, leading stocks lower
DXY is about to head much higher before end of year, likely alongside a Fed rate hike
Gold has been weak for most of the midterm year and the weakness continues until it ends
A seasonal correction in stocks is likely starting around the August/September timeframe
Bitcoin has a brief window of strength in July based on seasonality
The four year cycle strikes again, implying Bitcoin follows its historical bearish cycle phase
The 4-year cycle is not dead and the bear phase isn't over yet
Creator maintains the broader environment is a bear market until proven otherwise, with Bitcoin rallying into the Bear Market Resistance Band (20W SMA / 21W EMA) seen as vulnerable to renewed downside.
Bitcoin is bleeding to stocks — BTC underperforms equities.
Oil has surged ~35% and is presented as a late-cycle inflationary force to watch in the months ahead.
Bitcoin is in a bear market that needs navigating (year-to-date ROI framing).
Ethereum will likely go lower ('to the basement') later this year before the next bull market begins.
The Bitcoin bull market support band has flipped into a bear market resistance band, implying continued downside until proven otherwise.
Gold continues to outperform as capital favors hard assets amid monetary debasement; S&P 500 is losing its battle against gold.
The stock market chart is in a 'danger zone', implying downside risk.
Ethereum can move higher in the short term, with the bull market support band as the upside reference.
The bull market for Palladium continues, implying further upside.
Bitcoin is in a bear market ('bear market blues'), implying continued weakness.
Ethereum price is heading to $5,000.