50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
yucky — well below luck. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most covered米国株式市場 (S&P500) 8 →ゴールド（金） 4 →iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 3 →
Bear steepening occurs as fiscal conditions worsen! What does this mean? | Assuming long-term rates stay high, don't buy TLT/EDV/TMF | Explaining how to sell a US Treasury ladder | Covered-call long-term US Treasury ETF distribution results [US stock investing] 2026.8.27
Bear steepening occurs as fiscal conditions worsen! What does this mean? | Assuming long-term rates stay high, don't buy TLT/EDV/TMF | Explaining how to sell a US Treasury ladder | Covered-call long-term US Treasury ETF distribution results [US stock investing] 2026.8.27
Bear steepening occurs as fiscal conditions worsen! What does this mean? | Assuming long-term rates stay high, don't buy TLT/EDV/TMF | Explaining how to sell a US Treasury ladder | Covered-call long-term US Treasury ETF distribution results [US stock investing] 2026.8.27
The Crazy Reason Gold Rebounds Even as Rates Rise｜My 10 Million Yen Gold ETF Investment Record｜The Debt Problem Signaled by Rising Long-Term Rates in Developed Countries｜South Korea's Central Bank Resumes Gold Buying for the First Time in 13 Years｜Gold Is a Hedge Against Falling Currency Value [US Stock Investing] 2026.8.23
US fund manager releases a forecast of a 75% crash in the S&P 500｜US stocks where you can't expect the same profits as the past 10 years｜US profit growth depends on the fiscal deficit｜Hedge funds set to sell US tech stocks【US stock investing】2026.7.22
Micron Plunges 30% in One Month｜Chinese AI Company Unveils an LLM Surpassing Anthropic and OpenAI｜The ETFs to Buy Now Are SMH/DRAM/408A/392A｜AI Investment Growth Rate to Slow Sharply from '27 2026.7.18
Micron Plunges 30% in One Month｜Chinese AI Company Unveils an LLM Surpassing Anthropic and OpenAI｜The ETFs to Buy Now Are SMH/DRAM/408A/392A｜AI Investment Growth Rate to Slow Sharply from '27 2026.7.18
Micron Plunges 30% in One Month｜Chinese AI Company Unveils an LLM Surpassing Anthropic and OpenAI｜The ETFs to Buy Now Are SMH/DRAM/408A/392A｜AI Investment Growth Rate to Slow Sharply from '27 2026.7.18
World Semiconductor Trade Statistics Forecasts the Semiconductor Cycle Peaking Out in 2026｜Worst 5 SOX Decline Rates｜The Silicon Cycle That Occurs on a 3–4 Year Period｜The Top U.S. Companies by Market Cap That Change Drastically Over 10 Years 【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.7.11
The Stock Decline Is Caused by the Largest Margin-Buying Balance Ever｜Memory Stocks Plunge 14%, Sending Semiconductors Down 5.4% Too｜NY Dow Hits a Record High as a Market Turn Occurs｜Don't Be Fooled by the Headline! The Contents of the Jobs Report Are Bad [US Stock Investing] 2026.7.4
Two surprises from Fed Chair Warsh｜The track record that U.S. stocks rise even with rate hikes｜What is the rate-hike reason connected to stock price declines?｜With the dollar index surging, USD/JPY heads to the late 160-yen range【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.6.21
SpaceX, with $4.9 billion in losses, finally IPOs｜The biggest risk is that the scale of selling of shares not subject to the lockup is unknown｜Will the S&P 500 fall on the huge IPO?｜The possibility that SpaceX pushes the U.S. stock market up further 2026.6.13
Is it okay with U.S. stocks that are bubble-level overvalued and too skewed toward the top names?｜Avoiding concentrated investment in large-cap blue chips lowers returns and raises risk｜Beware of social media and media that stoke fear【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.5.10
The method used to buy 4 million yen of Nvidia and Amazon on the plunge | Crude oil rebounds but U.S. stocks hit 5 record highs | Two changes hinted at by new Fed Chair Warsh | 65% of investors expect a further +10% rise [U.S. Stock Investing] 2026.4.26
The method used to buy 4 million yen of Nvidia and Amazon on the plunge | Crude oil rebounds but U.S. stocks hit 5 record highs | Two changes hinted at by new Fed Chair Warsh | 65% of investors expect a further +10% rise [U.S. Stock Investing] 2026.4.26
With the Iran conflict resolved, USD/JPY heads to 140 yen | 48% of investors predict the collapse of the US dollar as the reserve currency within 20 years | Medium- to long-term FX drivers are growth, interest rates, and population | The US dollar is still the largest share of foreign reserves [US Stock Investing] 2026.4.22
Long-term US Treasury covered-call ETF 453A you can buy for under 10,000 yen | What is the BuyWrite strategy with a distribution yield over 10%? | Traits of investors suited to covered-call long-term US bonds, where you can expect both high dividends and capital gains [US stock investing] 2026.4.20
Finished buying 7.6 million yen worth of US stocks | Buy US stocks when the invasion starts | S&P 500 bottoms out with 5 straight session gains | Stocks rebound on US-Iran ceasefire agreement | Even with high oil prices, housing costs at a 5-year low mean inflation is over [US stock investing] 2026.4.8
4 reasons to pay attention to U.S. Treasuries | 2 recommended NISA-eligible U.S. Treasury ETFs | Exclusive interview with the head of iShares bond ETFs | The biggest tail risk in bonds | Should people in their 20s and 30s invest in bonds too? [U.S. Treasury Investing] 2026.4.1
4 reasons U.S. stocks plunged | Nvidia crashes -19% | Major banks found to have lent heavily to private credit | What is STRL, a quality individual stock worth buying? | The latest state of U.S. stocks vs. Japanese stocks [U.S. Stock Investing] 2026.3.23
4 reasons U.S. stocks plunged | Nvidia crashes -19% | Major banks found to have lent heavily to private credit | What is STRL, a quality individual stock worth buying? | The latest state of U.S. stocks vs. Japanese stocks [U.S. Stock Investing] 2026.3.23
Three reasons for gold's -18% plunge｜Finished adding 3 million yen worth of gold ETFs｜The demand supporting the current gold price is not central banks｜This year's rate-cut forecast goes to zero｜PPI surges past market forecasts【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.3.20
Financial sector in a crisis situation as funds flow out of private lending｜From the November high, Nvidia -20%, Microsoft -30% crash｜The investment actions to take now and the stocks to buy｜Rate-cut pricing down to one【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.3.15
Finished selling 5.5 million yen of the all-US equity VTI｜World Uncertainty Index records its worst ever｜Mag 7 plunges down to the 200-day moving average｜Microsoft falls 22% and enters a bear market｜Developed-market VEA and emerging-market VWO in great shape 2026.2.18
Finished selling 5.5 million yen of the all-US equity VTI｜World Uncertainty Index records its worst ever｜Mag 7 plunges down to the 200-day moving average｜Microsoft falls 22% and enters a bear market｜Developed-market VEA and emerging-market VWO in great shape 2026.2.18
Finished selling 5.5 million yen of the all-US equity VTI｜World Uncertainty Index records its worst ever｜Mag 7 plunges down to the 200-day moving average｜Microsoft falls 22% and enters a bear market｜Developed-market VEA and emerging-market VWO in great shape 2026.2.18
A Double Plunge in Gold and Silver Finally Occurs | ¥1,100 Trillion in Market Value Vanishes in Just a Few Hours | What Are the 3 Reasons for the Gold & Silver Plunge? | Being Able to Buy Calmly Even in a Plunge Is Thanks to the Core Strategy [US Stock Investing] 2026.1.31
Four Grounds for the Yen Strengthening Further｜How to Buy US Dollars With Zero Fees｜A Sign of Currency Intervention! What Is a Rate Check?｜Currency Intervention Won't Make the Yen Stronger?｜Japan Puts 40% of Its Foreign Reserves Into Investment in the US 【US Stock Investing】2026.1.27
Small caps post returns beating the S&P 500 for 11 straight trading days | Silver's price finally reaches a market cap surpassing Nvidia | US corporate profit growth will slow next year | 5 steps to solid core investing [US Stock Investing] 2026.1.17
Options Market Shows a Crash Probability of Just 8%｜Investors Predicting a Stock Decline Will Lose Their Assets｜A Stock Crash Has Nothing to Do With Blue-Chip Earnings Growth｜The 3 Core NISA ETFs Are SPYM, GLDM, 2256【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.1.12
Options Market Shows a Crash Probability of Just 8%｜Investors Predicting a Stock Decline Will Lose Their Assets｜A Stock Crash Has Nothing to Do With Blue-Chip Earnings Growth｜The 3 Core NISA ETFs Are SPYM, GLDM, 2256【U.S. Stock Investing】2026.1.12
Tech stocks' growth to slow to +2.3% a year over the next 10 years | A CAPE ratio of 39x reaches the level before the dot-com bubble burst | Checking Vanguard's 4-year forecast against the results | Emerging and developed market stocks are ideal for satellite investing 【US stock investing】2025.12.20
Tech stocks' growth to slow to +2.3% a year over the next 10 years | A CAPE ratio of 39x reaches the level before the dot-com bubble burst | Checking Vanguard's 4-year forecast against the results | Emerging and developed market stocks are ideal for satellite investing 【US stock investing】2025.12.20
Tech stocks' growth to slow to +2.3% a year over the next 10 years | A CAPE ratio of 39x reaches the level before the dot-com bubble burst | Checking Vanguard's 4-year forecast against the results | Emerging and developed market stocks are ideal for satellite investing 【US stock investing】2025.12.20
Silver price +106%, heading to double | Result of investing 2.8 million yen in SLV: +21% profit | Silver newly added to the US Geological Survey's critical minerals list! The pros and cons of tariffs on security grounds | Gold-silver ratio plunges to 69! Silver's undervaluation is over 2025.12.10
Silver price +106%, heading to double | Result of investing 2.8 million yen in SLV: +21% profit | Silver newly added to the US Geological Survey's critical minerals list! The pros and cons of tariffs on security grounds | Gold-silver ratio plunges to 69! Silver's undervaluation is over 2025.12.10
Wall Street Outlook: S&P 500 to 8,000 Points｜2026 Risk Factors and Points of Caution｜Even Bearish Strategists Turn Bullish｜The Full Picture of the U.S. Market Heading into 2026【U.S. Stock Investing】2025.11.29
2 clear signs of when to buy and when to sell Bitcoin | Reasons for BTC's -32% crash | The relationship between the 50MA and the end of a bull market | Bull markets last 1,050 days, bear markets 364 days | Sell after 2027 [U.S. stock investing] 2025.11.25
Silver hits a 45-year high, breaking $53! | We're still only at the entrance to the supercycle | The cycle's drivers are redistribution, environmental policy, and deglobalization | How to invest in gold and silver? | Why gold will fall from here [US Stock Investing] 2025.10.18
Silver hits a 45-year high, breaking $53! | We're still only at the entrance to the supercycle | The cycle's drivers are redistribution, environmental policy, and deglobalization | How to invest in gold and silver? | Why gold will fall from here [US Stock Investing] 2025.10.18
Silver hits a 45-year high, breaking $53! | We're still only at the entrance to the supercycle | The cycle's drivers are redistribution, environmental policy, and deglobalization | How to invest in gold and silver? | Why gold will fall from here [US Stock Investing] 2025.10.18
A recession from worsening employment becomes real as long-term rates rise | Why long-term rates are rising even though rates are being cut | The merits of building physical short-term US Treasuries into your portfolio | The USD/JPY outlook after rate cuts resume [US Stock Investing] 2025.9.23
US stocks head for a gradual rise in a good-economy rate-cut cycle | 3 stocks Roger Papa is actually buying | The September rate cut is risk management, not abrupt easing | Why long-term US Treasuries aren't rising [US Stock Investing] 2025.9.20
US stocks head for a gradual rise in a good-economy rate-cut cycle | 3 stocks Roger Papa is actually buying | The September rate cut is risk management, not abrupt easing | Why long-term US Treasuries aren't rising [US Stock Investing] 2025.9.20
