みずほ証券コラボ┃9月7日【日本株、金利上昇で明暗分かれ?~今週はメジャーSQ、米CPIに注目~】みずほウィークリーVIEW 中島三養子【楽天証券 トウシル】
Dollar-yen moving toward yen strength / dollar weakness on expectations of a narrowing US-Japan rate differential
50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
yucky — well below luck. Provisional — too few graded calls to mean much. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most coveredUSD/JPY 3 →Nikkei 225 2 →Bitcoin 1 →
Dollar-yen moving toward yen strength / dollar weakness on expectations of a narrowing US-Japan rate differential
September Bitcoin: Up 40% from the July bottom. Anomaly bearish, chart turning favorable — is the winter era over? (Yasuo Matsuda) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
T. Rowe Price is undervalued: a major active management firm whose weapon is corporate research capability (Yutaro Nishi)【Rakuten Securities Toushiru】
Both Japan and the US toward September rate hikes, the pace of price and wage increases pressuring the BOJ, an additional rate hike in December too (Nobuyasu Atago) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
[US Stocks] Nvidia: Strong results continue. The company forecasts revenue for the fiscal year ending January 2028 to rise 70% year on year (Yoshio Imanaka) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
GE HealthCare Technologies, a major medical imaging diagnostic equipment maker, looks undervalued (Yutaro Nishi) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
Yield Over 5%! "High-Yield J-REITs" That Benefit from Inbound Tourism (Haruki Mogi) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
Yield Over 5%! "High-Yield J-REITs" That Benefit from Inbound Tourism (Haruki Mogi) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
What Are This Week's Key Factors? GDP, CPI, FOMC Minutes
#August 18, 2026 #Masayuki Kubota Base, Ubicom, PKSHA… SIers sold off on the death of SaaS, hopes for a revival with AI agents
Tokyo Electron's performance is strong and demand for its semiconductor manufacturing equipment for both advanced logic and advanced memory will keep increasing, implying continued upside.
【Japanese Stocks】Lasertec: Orders for the fiscal year ending June 2027 are headed for a sharp increase (Yoshio Imanaka) 【Rakuten Securities Toushiru】
Small-cap stocks are predicted to become advantaged over large caps going forward
PKSHA Technology, sold off over the 'death of SaaS' narrative, is expected to rebound
Ubicom Holdings, sold off over the 'death of SaaS' narrative, is expected to rebound
BASE, sold off over the 'death of SaaS' narrative, is expected to rebound
Taisuke Tanaka: Money Speaks: 【US stocks】Getting ready for the semiconductor market's recovery (Taisuke Tanaka) 【Rakuten Securities Toushiru】
[Japanese Stocks] Advantest: Semiconductor Testers Are Strong. This Fiscal Year's Company Forecast Was Sharply Revised Upward [Earnings Report] (Yoshio Imanaka) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]
The forecast of 80,000 yen for the Nikkei Stock Average by 2030 remains unchanged, supported by three growth engines.
Despite a roughly 2% US-Japan rate differential, FX intervention (Japan-US coordinated) pushes the yen stronger, i.e. USD/JPY lower.
[Historical Backtest] For the S&P 500, Watch the Next Three Months! Will the AI Rally Continue?
With USD/JPY at the 163 level and yen weakness detached from US-Japan rate differentials, the depreciation trend persists until specific reversal conditions are met.
Crude oil, which has surged to $93 on renewed Iran conflict, will stay elevated over the longer term.
The rebound after the 4,416-yen plunge risks being a 'bull trap'; the market is at a crossroads with further downside targets in focus.
ASML will see continued demand growth for both EUV and ArF immersion lithography systems.
TSMC will continue to see significant revenue and profit growth on increased production of AI-related semiconductors.
After halving, Kioxia has a recovery scenario, with the next earnings report as the catalyst for a rebound.
Penguin Solutions is a semiconductor small/mid-cap benefiting from AI data center capex growth, and is worth focusing on.
Credo Technology is a semiconductor small/mid-cap benefiting from AI data center interconnect speed-up investment, and is worth focusing on.
Astera Labs is a semiconductor small/mid-cap whose growth is starting amid massive AI data center investment, and is worth focusing on.
The world reflected by the 2026 World Cup and the long-term outlook for gold (Satoshi Yoshida) [Rakuten Securities Toushiru]